NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc19fa403586dd96e18ccc72f0e776a643844f45202d875fee5fb6bf8f418c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 41c | 51,476$20,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,951.62 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 47c | 12,199$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.6 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Grizzlies | 47c | 11,960$5,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,338.75 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 11,117$6,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.73 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 11,006$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.21 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Mavericks | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 58c | 7,232$4,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.55 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mavericks | 27c | 6,717$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.04 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks | 55c | 6,605$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,661.46 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 71c | 3,766$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.19 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Grizzlies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Mavericks | 37c | 2,889$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.45 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Mavericks | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.99 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 79c | 2,712$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 70c | 2,087$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.07 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 68c | 1,751$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.14 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,681$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.07 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Mavericks | 55c | 1,638$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.65 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,455$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.34 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,450$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.07 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,430$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.39 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Mavericks | 41c | 1,403$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,310$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.44 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Mavericks | 20c | 1,205$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,165$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Mavericks | 19c | 1,138$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 1,077$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.17 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 80c | 1,063$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.59 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 1,020$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.02 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 48c | 980.46$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.88 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Grizzlies | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 856.11$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.74 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 55c | 839.98$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.19 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 43c | 806.45$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.45 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…f71bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 740.51$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 47c | 634.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Grizzlies | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Mavericks | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Grizzlies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Mavericks | 53c | 530$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Grizzlies | 56c | 527$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.65 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 39c | 514.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Grizzlies | 51c | 469.63$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.39 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mavericks | 3c | 464.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Grizzlies | 61c | 446.68$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Grizzlies | 60c | 417.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.13 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mavericks | 54c | 413.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.51 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mavericks | 52c | 404.72$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Grizzlies | 38c | 399.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Grizzlies | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f8…45c1backed Grizzlies | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b579backed Grizzlies | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…c052backed Mavericks | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…6707backed Mavericks | 51c | 382.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 364.49$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mavericks | 36c | 362$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Grizzlies | 60c | 360$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.26 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Grizzlies | 57c | 350.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Mavericks | 35c | 337.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Grizzlies | 79c | 333.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Mavericks | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 299.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 237.11$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 229$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fa…f7a6backed Mavericks | 67c | 213$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Grizzlies | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Mavericks | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Mavericks | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Grizzlies | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…0208backed Grizzlies | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…8aabbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…672bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 186.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…f97fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 182.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Grizzlies | 52c | 181.49$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.96 | 103 | 69.9%72 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 34c | 181.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…748fbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…1712backed Grizzlies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cab7backed Grizzlies | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +333.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Grizzlies | 79c | 151.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Mavericks | 53c | 147.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mavericks | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…1de0backed Mavericks | 54c | 138.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 42c | 136.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…82f1backed Mavericks | 42c | 136.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…5568backed Mavericks | 54c | 135.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.