NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88fb02a462c62cde8ae6da60c9c856bcf6897ab037dbe3fd9807f7d46c98bdcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Lightning, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Panthers | 56c | 24,999$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.63 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Lightning | 43c | 22,982$9,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800.56 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lightning | 44c | 19,158$8,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,429.47 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…b4d2backed Panthers | 57c | 9,993$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1745…7755backed Lightning | 43c | 9,993$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…4318backed Panthers | 57c | 9,992$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…7484backed Lightning | 43c | 9,992$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…66e5backed Panthers | 57c | 9,600$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…3873backed Lightning | 43c | 9,600$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Panthers | 57c | 9,000$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lightning | 43c | 8,628$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.57 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lightning | 57c | 6,395$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.77 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Panthers | 16c | 6,358$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Panthers | 57c | 5,024$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Lightning | 43c | 5,014$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.04 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lightning | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.91 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 57c | 4,600$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 56c | 4,459$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.18 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 38c | 4,272$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.37 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…6577backed Lightning | 43c | 3,697$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Panthers | 55c | 3,126$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.77 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Panthers | 56c | 3,077$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Panthers | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Lightning | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Panthers | 57c | 2,596$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Panthers | 43c | 2,545$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.91 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 43c | 2,311$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.77 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Lightning | 45c | 2,161$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.45 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 44c | 2,048$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.17 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.83 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Panthers | 57c | 1,777$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Lightning | 43c | 1,777$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Panthers | 57c | 1,764$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Lightning | 43c | 1,762$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Panthers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Panthers | 55c | 1,706$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Panthers | 59c | 1,701$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.83 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 62c | 1,680$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Lightning | 8c | 1,647$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Panthers | 57c | 1,577$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 42c | 1,296$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.95 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…8d53backed Panthers | 57c | 1,095$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Panthers | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.32 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Panthers | 19c | 1,048$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.36 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Panthers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…3782backed Lightning | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…e977backed Lightning | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Lightning | 26c | 999$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Lightning | 44c | 974.75$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Panthers | 57c | 972.31$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Lightning | 43c | 972.31$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 10c | 959.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lightning | 42c | 940.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.86 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 56c | 899$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.56 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 55c | 877$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.65 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 79c | 842.43$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.92 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Panthers | 57c | 829.68$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.76 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Lightning | 43c | 829.68$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Panthers | 57c | 829.68$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Lightning | 43c | 829.68$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Lightning | 43c | 761.27$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Panthers | 57c | 760.55$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…478dbacked Lightning | 44c | 665.91$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Panthers | 57c | 661.16$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4af…d32cbacked Panthers | 58c | 644.83$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 57c | 622.41$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…97a3backed Panthers | 58c | 555.17$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Panthers | 47c | 543$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.39 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…d2cbbacked Lightning | 44c | 534.09$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Lightning | 67c | 515.13$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Panthers | 58c | 505.55$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Panthers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Lightning | 43c | 498.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers | 61c | 492.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.59 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…7d43backed Lightning | 44c | 455.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…8132backed Panthers | 58c | 443.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lightning | 42c | 439.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 58c | 409.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…3617backed Panthers | 33c | 406.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff59…afeabacked Panthers | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 43c | 395.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…84bcbacked Panthers | 58c | 384.48$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Panthers | 31c | 368.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.54 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Panthers | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lightning | 45c | 312.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Panthers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Panthers | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Panthers | 58c | 262.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Panthers | 55c | 261.82$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 42c | 261.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Panthers | 59c | 256.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…00f7backed Panthers | 39c | 253.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.