Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7024f215f463a36c942f48f4afad9be6cbfabc0cab59ba98bcd870db2a537fd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 53c | 16,098$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.8 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 52c | 11,799$6,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,717.28 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 48c | 9,836$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 46c | 7,523$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.35 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 50c | 7,094$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.86 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Yes | 55c | 6,048$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.97 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 39c | 5,369$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.3 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 5,346$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.37 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed No | 48c | 4,231$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 4,005$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.98 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 46c | 3,493$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.03 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 56c | 3,459$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.79 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 46c | 3,293$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 32c | 3,037$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.98 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 49c | 2,973$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.66 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed No | 47c | 2,787$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 48c | 2,031$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 49c | 2,020$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.21 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…ab67backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Yes | 52c | 1,787$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +168.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 1,745$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.31 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…a31dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,730$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c5…668ebacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…3e95backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 53c | 1,448$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.72 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked No | 49c | 1,398$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,122$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.56 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 49c | 1,113$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.51 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.11 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.14 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…39a1backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 80c | 986.96$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 51c | 970$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.1 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 22c | 840.77$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…7b78backed Yes | 75c | 803.6$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 732.12$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.74 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 52c | 717.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.42 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Yes | 53c | 702.98$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 45c | 699.92$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.96 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 49c | 650.7$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 47c | 603.67$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.97 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d4…d47abacked Yes | 53c | 587.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 51c | 550$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.1 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 52c | 493.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.14 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…c898backed Yes | 44c | 481.32$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Yes | 52c | 479.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…cae6backed Yes | 52c | 479.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 46c | 415.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Yes | 52c | 384.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 19c | 381.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.89 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 53c | 375.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…028dbacked No | 49c | 365.68$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed No | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 53c | 329.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 47c | 312.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 311.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…930bbacked Yes | 74c | 307.08$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…7888backed Yes | 53c | 281.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed No | 49c | 253.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 49c | 243.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 30c | 233.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.34 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Yes | 45c | 220.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 52c | 215.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…77b0backed Yes | 51c | 199.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe724…1938backed Yes | 53c | 199.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…efc7backed Yes | 66c | 192.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…d31bbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…b66ebacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…1bb5backed No | 49c | 188.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?No won
- Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.