Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7b77970c319ebd221bf3a38fc27f52eeb051b71619e5917cf944dd2614065f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 76c | 9,941$7,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.84 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 24c | 8,591$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.33 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 76c | 8,590$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.64 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 75c | 6,216$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.22 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 25c | 3,652$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 26c | 3,077$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 75c | 2,768$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.86 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 77c | 2,305$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.26 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 24c | 2,161$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.64 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 16c | 1,936$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.21 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 21c | 1,763$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 8c | 1,261$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 1,068$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 7c | 1,046$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 24c | 1,023$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…0b73backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…a477backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 76c | 999.94$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…b462backed No | 75c | 870$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…decbbacked Yes | 25c | 849.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 26c | 773.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 76c | 633$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…403cbacked No | 75c | 620$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 25c | 609$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 25c | 597.96$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 25c | 549.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 26c | 473.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 75c | 460$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 418.96$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…d90ebacked No | 75c | 410$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Yes | 16c | 407.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 327.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed No | 77c | 312.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 22c | 283.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 26c | 265.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…9b50backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…90d9backed No | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 76c | 205$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Yes | 26c | 203.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…4190backed Yes | 14c | 177.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 26c | 173.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…78ccbacked No | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…0146backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 25c | 156.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…76c7backed Yes | 26c | 156.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…c898backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 24c | 149.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 23c | 142.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 132$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 24c | 129.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d9…96e0backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…6b3bbacked Yes | 22c | 120.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…234ebacked No | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 15c | 111.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 80c | 106.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 20c | 100.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…3f66backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…dcb7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…2922backed Yes | 21c | 99.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 76c | 87.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…57c8backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed No | 76c | 81.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…111dbacked Yes | 25c | 78.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +86%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 26c | 76.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 26c | 75.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…68bebacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 24c | 74.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 24c | 73.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…6b64backed Yes | 25c | 64.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Yes | 25c | 60.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…bb38backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 55.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…207fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.