TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$383,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No55c185,765$102,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,489.052458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Yes45c176,653$79,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,493.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…416abacked Yes45c39,150$17,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,617.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2a00backed No55c34,000$18,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No57c23,552$13,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,227.417566.7%50 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes44c22,727$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes46c21,755$9,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,984.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No51c11,238$5,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,490.6533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked No57c10,035$5,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8f…b651backed No56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No65c5,203$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.4512243.4%53 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99ee…dd52backed No55c5,150$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+183.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf892…7f58backed No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+44.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x279a…c95fbacked Yes46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976f…acc7backed Yes43c3,953$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed No75c3,804$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-83.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes43c3,241$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-75.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No54c3,211$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.824854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.962737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes43c2,977$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2806858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No53c2,863$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.712272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Yes43c2,789$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.48850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No54c2,703$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.27851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes46c2,610$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.481533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed No64c2,432$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes47c2,422$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1501450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abb…847bbacked Yes47c2,348$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes46c2,230$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f54…8805backed Yes45c2,100$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c2,037$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.924341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x970c…b40dbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.999145.1%41 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9443…e5ecbacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes45c1,975$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.794837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes45c1,964$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes38c1,757$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.578456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed No55c1,757$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.651936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Yes2c1,640$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed No57c1,610$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cc…e644backed Yes1c1,608$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.013941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No54c1,501$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked No52c1,459$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.292669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes43c1,165$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No53c1,104$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.924655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0f…05fdbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed No58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes44c974.23$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…5fcebacked Yes4c958.31$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7b…330abacked Yes49c935$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7695…4cd7backed Yes49c920$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb017…bc95backed No51c810$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes44c794.73$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed No59c775.76$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.753265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb555…55debacked Yes47c745.45$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes46c739.63$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.233770.3%26 W · 11 L+6.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes43c709.3$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes44c699.44$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…8f7bbacked Yes44c687.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4951…f34fbacked No51c675$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aef…b1d9backed Yes49c665$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed No64c658.99$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes45c643.93$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65e1…64dbbacked No51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8235…c814backed No51c580$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes46c537.65$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.323740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Yes46c526.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed No58c513.91$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.63977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+65.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe921…f7e9backed Yes49c470$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Yes30c459.21$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Yes48c417.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes42c403$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.414235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1177…3fe3backed No51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c384.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0923757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No52c381.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes45c376.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4515846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes50c359.9$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.353354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf81e…24a8backed Yes49c345$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee13…7639backed Yes49c315$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No57c310$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.38545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd8…f2e3backed Yes46c304.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Yes46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked No56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f8…245abacked No51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…a5b0backed Yes49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…15ddbacked No61c279.92$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb06…d702backed No51c270$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes44c266.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.032528%7 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No52c259.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.359561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Yes43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes36c245.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x965e…0062backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b06…b091backed No54c225$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.