Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x526c89be8d73fedc10641226274d10a1e1e660e5939d97fb4c1df51000613d5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 28c | 44,929$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,428.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 72c | 34,806$25,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,065.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 42c | 6,098$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.65 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 73c | 5,234$3,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.05 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 3,944$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.15 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 2,805$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.96 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 1c | 2,738$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed No | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed No | 73c | 2,486$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 74c | 2,247$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.57 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 74c | 2,151$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 3c | 1,900$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 74c | 1,762$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.05 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed No | 74c | 1,595$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 74c | 1,422$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Yes | 27c | 1,333$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Yes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +223.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,208$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.66 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 25c | 1,148$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.36 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 26c | 1,015$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb680…c893backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 38c | 981.05$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…8a10backed Yes | 23c | 970$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 911.37$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.2 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Yes | 28c | 803.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 779.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 5c | 647.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 42c | 633.66$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.03 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed No | 74c | 575.64$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 7c | 557.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 27c | 556.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 70c | 500$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…b413backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 26c | 464.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 8c | 458.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…31d6backed Yes | 27c | 433.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked No | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes | 25c | 397.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…fc02backed Yes | 26c | 384.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 26c | 379.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…e927backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…f037backed Yes | 27c | 366.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 26c | 355.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ef…fc12backed No | 77c | 355$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…b1b3backed Yes | 29c | 353.34$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 28c | 334.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 29c | 309.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa7…ebc5backed Yes | 53c | 284.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 73c | 272.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 26c | 262.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 26c | 252.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…5129backed Yes | 27c | 246.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 74c | 245$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…274dbacked Yes | 26c | 230.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +159%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 72c | 225$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0a…99d0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked No | 73c | 191.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…9306backed Yes | 26c | 191.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 25c | 178.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed No | 76c | 174.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 162.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 74c | 144.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…d8cebacked Yes | 28c | 143.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca8…9779backed No | 77c | 140$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 78c | 133.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99ee…dd52backed Yes | 26c | 122$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +183.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…2bf4backed No | 74c | 122$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 117.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 113$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…7c10backed Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Yes | 27c | 101.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 25c | 98.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x621d…f11ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…7149backed Yes | 28c | 94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bd72backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa398…dd66backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…2b37backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 74c | 76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc73f…b237backed No | 75c | 75.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5552…d1c2backed Yes | 27c | 74.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-01?this page
- Will Athletic Club vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.