TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Kings, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,277 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 794 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae36…8fb5backed Oilers75c40,011$30,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8092853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kings43c33,532$14,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,474.1936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Oilers63c23,197$14,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,505.236764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Kings5c21,522$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3811352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Kings23c17,358$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.5885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Oilers24c16,599$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,618.093243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings50c14,565$7,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,275.9344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings27c14,356$3,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,812.192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cec…e65cbacked Kings44c9,993$4,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,396.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeef…0cbfbacked Oilers56c9,993$5,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,396.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oilers28c9,272$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,686.8310343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings48c9,082$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.981,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Kings30c7,934$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.3410546.7%49 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Oilers57c7,390$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,177.7910448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Kings69c6,404$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.7110739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oilers63c6,058$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.011,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers56c5,453$3,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.3327958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Oilers41c4,966$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.576946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers56c4,468$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.291,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0833…7191backed Kings45c4,200$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Kings72c4,138$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.014151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…744dbacked Kings44c3,945$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a8…c7bebacked Kings44c3,922$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Oilers56c3,800$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,66249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers57c3,600$2,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,54817448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae6…2b88backed Oilers55c3,580$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6114100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8a7…6228backed Oilers56c3,223$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…52e2backed Oilers56c3,194$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3d…a886backed Oilers56c3,160$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Oilers63c2,976$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.29757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.941,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2edf…8475backed Kings44c2,272$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings44c2,262$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Oilers74c2,197$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.911441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…4350backed Oilers56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kings57c1,937$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.9813348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Kings44c1,880$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.28854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings45c1,873$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83628152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c67…6738backed Kings44c1,709$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49619548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Kings76c1,541$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.314436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Oilers56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66011354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers56c1,456$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.641,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings8c1,272$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9814012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Oilers57c1,228$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.073250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings76c1,100$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83518520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings46c1,071$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.8786649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings59c1,012$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.4512955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ba0…cee3backed Oilers33c900.75$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.021145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kings42c799.97$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Kings76c753.38$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc96d…7d43backed Oilers49c747.46$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Kings54c740.35$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.69750.5%49 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Oilers57c689$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings15c676.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Kings47c643.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006454.7%35 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e8…b663backed Oilers55c620$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a5…b434backed Kings43c618.87$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7605…4ec0backed Kings44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers56c579$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef69…a854backed Kings74c557.54$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Oilers58c556.92$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.928870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers57c555$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Oilers36c552.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.358425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Kings44c548.77$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.535255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Kings16c545.66$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.767516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Oilers56c530.86$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.864856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Kings72c524.28$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.356956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings18c510$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Kings50c502$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kings44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Kings44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings23c480.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.523,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oilers55c455.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.829748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Oilers56c446.75$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.18047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb63…3ba1backed Kings44c388.64$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79b…107abacked Kings78c386.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Kings24c377$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.174143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc726…c39abacked Kings15c372$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505e…7ddabacked Oilers57c368.42$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.42862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…e633backed Kings44c359.09$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Kings44c357$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.083339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kings44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…97a3backed Oilers57c343.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb99…3587backed Oilers57c331.58$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b7…6c96backed Oilers57c325.04$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.771080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Kings44c311.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3220137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa93d…36cabacked Kings44c311.36$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Kings72c303.61$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.454841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5228…fb0dbacked Oilers57c301.75$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12938046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9711…59a2backed Oilers57c298.25$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.251250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers56c285.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8479251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings50c285.78$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.892,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.