MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688cb475c4249940fcc149641b0a51bc2798e5b5607423681ead7702daffe0db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 32,163$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 16,704$11,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.39 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 15,701$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.49 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 10,844$7,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.24 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 10,384$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 9,691$7,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 4,498$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.88 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 3,588$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 3,290$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.1 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,690$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.13 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 2,560$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1,156.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 2,106$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,946$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.4 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,936$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.91 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,103$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.83 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 979.94$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.97 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 904$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 873$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.12 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 838.36$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 809.4$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.36 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 808.78$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 807$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.22 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 2c | 650$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 625.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.22 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…3280backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 613.57$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 585.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.45 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 538.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 506.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 474.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 456.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 452.25$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 438.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 415.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 390.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 354.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 313.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 299.52$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 259.68$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 243.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 221.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 185$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 178.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 160.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 156.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.36 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ff…10d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…7d46backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 121.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…53a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 118.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…ceb2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 114.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 105.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…3f53backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 99.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 95.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 95.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 21c | 94.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…e6a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 81.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…75d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 76.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…4c03backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 67.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…30f9backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 64.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…23aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 64.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 63.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e74…4934backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 57.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…cf51backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 57.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 51.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1da…c9f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 48.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…3034backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 47.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…1fc2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 46.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.