MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa361c1b2e05e68cf3d927fd34633e599d42a27ced546d1afa9fa472bbb1598d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof Milwaukee Brewers, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked San Francisco Giants | 22c | 43,645$9,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,006.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 15,649$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,915.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked San Francisco Giants | 40c | 9,728$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.68 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 3,697$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.8 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked San Francisco Giants | 14c | 3,287$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.02 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,689$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 2,100$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,577$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.95 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,547$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.74 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,400$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 1,378$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,049$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.13 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 811.19$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.57 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 753.53$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 66c | 750$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 690$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 347.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 313.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked San Francisco Giants | 38c | 271.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked San Francisco Giants | 41c | 245.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.61 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 226.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 208$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 173.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 127$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 91.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed San Francisco Giants | 65c | 50.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Francisco Giants | 60c | 41.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 32.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked San Francisco Giants | 57c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.