NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c0dd6990098c99a79145b244f6944b952003bcd163052ac1479dc63c9de8bd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Maple Leafs, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 23,250$10,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,694.96 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Senators | 52c | 19,419$10,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,403.66 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 51c | 16,536$8,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,051.49 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 13,530$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.78 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 54c | 11,255$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.42 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Senators | 49c | 10,153$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,170.25 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 9,788$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 70c | 9,636$6,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.61 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…2b88backed Senators | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…1004backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 5,720$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.5 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Senators | 51c | 5,129$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.64 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 52c | 5,119$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.75 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,016$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Senators | 53c | 3,878$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.52 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,767$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.05 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 65c | 3,513$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Maple Leafs | 10c | 3,459$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.87 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,389$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,350$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.96 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 3,333$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.86 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 53c | 3,125$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.97 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Senators | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.94 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,722$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Senators | 52c | 2,569$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.92 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 52c | 2,484$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 2,458$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Senators | 52c | 2,393$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.52 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,347$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.73 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 60c | 2,267$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Senators | 54c | 2,163$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.76 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,088$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Senators | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…6577backed Senators | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 58c | 1,621$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.19 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 49c | 1,588$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.85 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Senators | 53c | 1,556$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.16 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 61c | 1,391$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,372$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Senators | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,295$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 52c | 1,203$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.41 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.41 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 1,092$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.66 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…65a0backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e3…cb7abacked Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 999.93$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 978.66$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.62 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 911.01$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.33 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 851.53$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators | 53c | 832$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.04 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Senators | 56c | 819.1$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.07 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 53c | 768.71$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.78 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…825abacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 722.42$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…ff03backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 679.93$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Senators | 50c | 645.18$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Senators | 53c | 609.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 570$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…181bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 539.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 48c | 533$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.83 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 528.3$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…8772backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…2bbebacked Senators | 53c | 520.75$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…9bccbacked Senators | 53c | 518.87$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca7…00f9backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 518.75$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 54c | 500.87$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 470.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Senators | 51c | 450$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Senators | 52c | 434.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…fdfebacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 432.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…16eebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 413.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e01…aae8backed Senators | 53c | 413.21$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…8a10backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 406.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Senators | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 25c | 400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Senators | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 381.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…7d43backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 362.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 351.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…ed45backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Senators | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Senators | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Senators | 51c | 291.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Maple Leafs | 28c | 289.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 264.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Senators | 67c | 250.59$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 248.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 240.32$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Senators | 62c | 239.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.