Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d79243961a28e9f95fe526b54b9855f1548b18db32d0995d0b1869f91948b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 47c | 51,329$24,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,102.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 42,719$22,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,998.44 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 53c | 29,788$15,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,990.94 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 53c | 21,349$11,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,052.88 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 47c | 13,485$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,284.29 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 54c | 13,121$7,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.93 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 39c | 9,327$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.24 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 47c | 8,085$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 54c | 7,602$4,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.81 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 46c | 6,087$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 5,447$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.36 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed No | 56c | 5,360$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 28c | 5,122$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.79 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 62c | 5,024$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,115.37 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 43c | 4,573$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 46c | 4,548$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.49 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 17c | 4,545$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.1 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 54c | 4,149$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.91 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 53c | 3,779$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 49c | 3,632$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 55c | 3,224$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.57 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 28c | 2,896$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 37c | 2,640$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.65 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 43c | 2,516$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.32 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…2e0dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,385$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 48c | 2,285$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.68 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Yes | 47c | 2,176$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 47c | 2,146$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 30c | 2,044$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.09 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Yes | 47c | 1,909$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Yes | 46c | 1,850$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…39dabacked No | 54c | 1,850$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed No | 54c | 1,692$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Yes | 46c | 1,624$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 1,462$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.21 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 19c | 1,386$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.8 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked No | 13c | 1,274$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 32cpaid | +560.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc497…767abacked Yes | 63c | 1,256$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…1dd1backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,161$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…2cc0backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…9b43backed Yes | 47c | 990$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 53c | 988.23$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.47 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 46c | 800$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f0…10efbacked Yes | 8c | 730.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…0dbfbacked No | 54c | 693.45$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Yes | 72c | 674.13$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 38c | 594.57$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 73c | 550.26$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 54c | 544.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.14 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Yes | 46c | 538.91$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…7ce1backed Yes | 46c | 531.7$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 52c | 524.27$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d68…4481backed No | 53c | 515$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…ee41backed No | 53c | 485$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…930bbacked Yes | 50c | 468.96$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 46c | 467.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 72c | 464.49$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 47c | 454.62$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…a375backed Yes | 48c | 438.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Yes | 46c | 410.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…cb4cbacked Yes | 48c | 410$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…3daabacked Yes | 46c | 409$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 62c | 400$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 393.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 46c | 322.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 41c | 303.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 54cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…134fbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 33c | 296.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 15c | 273.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 46c | 269.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 74c | 261.85$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 248.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.51 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 15c | 245.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 69c | 225$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 47c | 219.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.