TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c02…3690

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$14.37
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.1
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+29.9%+$18.27
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$183.65
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+30.2%+$133.14
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+61.3%+$16.13
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+31.6%+$7.22
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$32.59
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$57.15
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.31
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$15
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Bucks vs. Pistonsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+58.7%+$8.81
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+25%+$11.1
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$33
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$8.37
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$133.08
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$151.63
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$37.95
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$494.75
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+33.3%+$12.55
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$46.75
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$249.94
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$29.5
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$94.76
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+110.8%+$85.66
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$78.76
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+42.9%+$29.76
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+66.7%+$27.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.67
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.59
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Wild vs. Ducksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Stars vs. Golden Knightsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
New Mexico vs. Hawai'ibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+29.9%+$18.11
Kansas State vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+51.8%+$20.72
Rutgers vs. Michigan Statebacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$49.29
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+35.1%+$95.92
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+78.6%+$43.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.