Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeedf49438f58b8dbaad3c89ec97a6cd7be30c38b6757c52f812e3909512b949e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 67c | 12,323$8,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,066.67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 33c | 8,931$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.95 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 30c | 5,805$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.24 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 32c | 2,764$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 70c | 2,750$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.67 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 25c | 2,689$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.17 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,652$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.84 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 2,531$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.34 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 71c | 2,357$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.98 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 68c | 2,044$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.99 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Yes | 69c | 1,428$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 32c | 1,278$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.64 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 31c | 1,266$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.82 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3426…c7b7backed No | 1c | 1,170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 31c | 999.96$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 31c | 999.93$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 31c | 947.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 12c | 821.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 69c | 806.61$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes | 70c | 702$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 70c | 678.45$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 67c | 564.18$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.18 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…7d78backed Yes | 68c | 491.13$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 70c | 475.06$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 30c | 474$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Yes | 68c | 445.19$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 69c | 420.16$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…c6f4backed Yes | 70c | 325.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…4e43backed No | 33c | 316.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 67c | 312.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5d8cbacked No | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 68c | 299.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 11c | 292.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 31c | 286.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 11c | 277.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes | 69c | 277$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…dd3bbacked Yes | 67c | 267.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 66c | 260.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…4795backed No | 33c | 233.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…a635backed No | 33c | 225.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…8c15backed Yes | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes | 68c | 215.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 5c | 209.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83da…41f7backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 69c | 197.63$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…9a61backed Yes | 70c | 181.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…9a8abacked No | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…ae82backed No | 33c | 174.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 68c | 170.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed No | 33c | 169.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 70c | 167.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a87…b672backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…f70ebacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 67c | 149.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7061…b76ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 70c | 143.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 68c | 119.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 67c | 113.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc27…75a6backed No | 33c | 110.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 68c | 108.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Yes | 70c | 99.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…5ff7backed Yes | 69c | 97.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 94.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…dd38backed No | 34c | 90.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…9651backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 159 | 55.3%88 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked No | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Yes | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…5461backed No | 32c | 76.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…1d0bbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…e66fbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 70c | 71.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…3a69backed Yes | 70c | 70.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d3…4082backed No | 32c | 66.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…a0a7backed Yes | 69c | 63.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…e210backed Yes | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.