TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Kings, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$668,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$660,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 825 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers33c40,544$13,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,290.861,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers61c14,999$9,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,909.061,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers27c12,683$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,243.883,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings33c10,013$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.21,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Clippers60c9,167$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.678251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Clippers14c8,512$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,341.7329738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Kings34c8,187$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.3826431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Kings33c8,041$2,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.1923135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings32c7,460$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.3220238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings52c7,137$3,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,746.6347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Clippers62c6,718$4,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.8230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Clippers68c6,686$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,131.9631935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Clippers71c5,710$4,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.9468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings61c5,608$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,440.4733931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Clippers67c5,340$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.5233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Clippers68c4,752$3,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.6962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Clippers33c4,616$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.3834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Clippers67c4,130$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.0117546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Kings33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32025833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Clippers75c3,794$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings40c3,534$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Kings39c3,419$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.358434.5%29 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Kings40c3,074$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.5828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Kings33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Clippers64c3,014$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.4119451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9106…d826backed Clippers67c3,000$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.821637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Kings33c2,961$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.2926640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Clippers55c2,811$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.2961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Kings64c2,773$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.7519164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2170…8e8abacked Clippers37c2,705$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Clippers42c2,700$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.7222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a0d…68edbacked Kings32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Kings78c2,469$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.763666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings45c2,245$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.3688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Clippers68c2,240$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.825039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Kings45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers68c2,220$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.771,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Kings32c2,192$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.4613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Kings34c2,152$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.293036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Clippers54c2,114$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.3853134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0445…e4dfbacked Kings32c2,081$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.791127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Clippers67c1,999$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.5430251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings31c1,945$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Clippers62c1,921$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.531154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings35c1,695$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings8c1,660$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1334524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3436…17c5backed Kings38c1,644$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.582462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x963e…61ccbacked Clippers67c1,581$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.72850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Clippers66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.158851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Kings33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings33c1,514$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Clippers68c1,503$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Kings32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Kings33c1,188$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Clippers68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Clippers68c1,151$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0317256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Clippers19c1,149$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.1110926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Kings46c1,048$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6347229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Kings33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Clippers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe780…d32dbacked Clippers67c999.98$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings33c997.33$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8325536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers71c980.98$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9825865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e2b…525abacked Kings41c922.25$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.754528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Clippers27c900$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65731125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings6c889.69$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.538783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Kings34c874.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Clippers67c848.1$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.1950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Clippers69c803$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.615660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Kings32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Clippers64c783.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0820756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…0d27backed Clippers65c704.27$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Kings37c702.7$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26017943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Kings33c675.73$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.816129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Kings32c653.84$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2320153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Kings32c650$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20838942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings29c648$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Kings33c643.91$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4915341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Kings32c641.03$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-70.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Clippers45c640$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.445647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Clippers66c622$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2615365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Kings52c612.89$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.994261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Kings33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Clippers68c591.18$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.181,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Clippers70c590.95$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.341,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Kings34c588.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ba…d429backed Clippers69c576.67$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.24254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Clippers63c559.93$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9870153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Clippers67c539.96$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Kings28c505.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Clippers57c502.24$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7329450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Clippers10c499.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers66c489$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Clippers48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.613636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Kings46c471.34$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8217044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked Kings33c447.45$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Clippers62c445.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.593571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Kings34c443.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06d…64d3backed Kings35c443.27$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.13714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…70f7backed Clippers62c438.23$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.