TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Nets, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$431,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$524,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Magic57c99,825$56,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,268.0511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Nets42c32,383$13,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,516.1811459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Magic75c20,530$15,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,030.8511656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets36c16,682$5,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,925.0361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets52c16,482$8,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,522.413,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Magic75c14,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5004238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets30c12,585$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,812.9765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets28c10,000$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Magic56c5,717$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.629858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets27c5,309$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.081,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets36c5,011$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.1172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Nets76c4,567$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.8914233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Nets64c4,459$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.7133258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Nets56c4,371$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.8217141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Nets38c3,909$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Nets75c3,511$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.343745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets1c3,488$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.391,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c3,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.641,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Nets46c2,779$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.6447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets26c2,700$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70246131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets6c2,503$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.031,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Nets25c2,480$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Nets54c2,469$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.2270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets25c2,407$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Magic73c2,400$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nets25c2,205$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.9825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Nets75c2,075$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.8829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…e4a7backed Magic43c1,997$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.172445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Magic77c1,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.057263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Magic52c1,925$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.4528256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets51c1,855$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.8739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Nets48c1,761$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.981729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Magic73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.897248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Magic54c1,300$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59623835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Nets23c1,300$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Nets65c1,146$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.9225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Nets25c1,054$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5711952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nets78c1,050$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.2436843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed Nets47c1,004$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4773447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets26c1,000$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Magic40c940$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0725651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Nets67c847.59$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56511447.4%54 W · 60 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Nets66c837.44$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9425865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Magic18c834.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.9938132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Magic74c751.72$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.0510244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Magic75c743.04$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.041,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5273…6eabbacked Nets27c703.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic60c702.28$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.291,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Nets36c700$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x749f…a8f9backed Magic73c687.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Nets43c679.37$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6515947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Magic29c675.83$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9837831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Magic77c651.44$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.697860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets40c625.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.655,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf892…9769backed Magic76c602.3$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Nets30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Magic45c599.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.995468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Nets58c586.25$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1745135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7174…d302backed Magic62c562.22$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Magic42c527.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nets24c519$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5647948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Nets74c506.3$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6611956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets64c506.18$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.222721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x877b…83f1backed Magic54c505.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.752157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Nets27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Magic74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Nets26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x728a…a75cbacked Nets27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nets27c499.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9b…9e90backed Nets51c484.24$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.61931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Magic2c470.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.065502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Nets65c447.69$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29123248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Nets48c419.27$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2516345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Magic33c414.57$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.593036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Nets36c411.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x964e…99b3backed Nets68c405.82$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Nets26c405.09$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Nets44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17612657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Magic5c400$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38010525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Nets30c395.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61b…4049backed Magic76c385.87$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.611369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Nets26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…cad0backed Magic76c382.97$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.91475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets24c380$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239f…e533backed Magic74c377$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ca…a4b4backed Nets68c375$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.753438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a5…30c4backed Magic76c364.07$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.381776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic63c351.95$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.911,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Magic75c348.44$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9414852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe017…9b3abacked Magic74c342.51$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Nets26c337.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.748952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Magic72c333.33$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3346928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Magic31c332.09$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick35cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Nets57c329.64$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.996947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…5321backed Magic75c313.15$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.291154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick72cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.