TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e9b…9e90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2025, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$56.84
Kings vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+249.6%+$499.27
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$549.98
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$9.63
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$24.72
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+85.2%+$16.27
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.02
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21.58
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$400
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+400%+$400
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$244.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.93
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.78
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Raiders vs. Saintsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+58.9%+$90.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$242.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.