TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pistons, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$689,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Pistons31c70,986$21,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,973.8511656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons10c55,574$5,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,557.3970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pacers69c11,798$8,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.419149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d8…22a9backed Pacers70c10,050$7,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Pistons7c9,526$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.9725016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Pistons1c7,400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Pacers70c7,137$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.0710058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63cb…736dbacked Pistons30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pistons34c6,964$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.5472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Pacers67c6,575$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.5712663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pistons12c6,277$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.4934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers77c6,168$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.5336843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers69c5,948$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.8965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers69c5,797$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.11,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Pistons1c5,506$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons30c5,463$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pacers80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.991,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons31c4,427$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.051,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Pistons32c3,826$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.284238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons13c3,653$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Pacers72c3,620$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.735267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers67c3,604$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.411,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Pacers68c3,448$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.4327840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaade…afc8backed Pistons30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pistons33c3,000$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.3740627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Pacers68c2,755$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.794158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pistons25c2,700$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Pistons30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons1c2,416$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.161,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons8c2,200$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e0…5fd9backed Pistons5c2,135$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers68c2,056$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.1873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pistons17c1,905$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.7814034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons21c1,744$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…ffdbbacked Pistons31c1,629$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3217…80b9backed Pacers70c1,629$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers67c1,500$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers67c1,500$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.061,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Pacers70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5716261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a16…33dbbacked Pacers71c1,386$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pacers67c1,328$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.2725845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Pacers76c1,224$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.711957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers69c1,200$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pacers67c1,120$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.217047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6150…13f7backed Pacers76c1,118$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers68c1,117$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons20c1,100$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22070640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pacers69c1,000$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.535046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Pistons21c941.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Pistons16c930.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbfc…0655backed Pacers80c926.47$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.163167.7%21 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Pistons7c799.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons15c706.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.311,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons12c683.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pistons8c582.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons32c500.01$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x777b…4ae7backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603056.7%17 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4c…d6eabacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b1f…bbd0backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0c…95dabacked Pacers67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+59.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb25d…6ca5backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…8f94backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81c9…629cbacked Pacers69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x405b…e576backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…ab59backed Pacers67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f49…a680backed Pistons31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x068e…f8b6backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ce…d6b4backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ea…63d9backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2713…fcbdbacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb37a…8767backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8a72backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587c…25dbbacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186e…2112backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8331…2da4backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83b…1cccbacked Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d2…5e8dbacked Pacers67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1653151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…3751backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1944…019abacked Pistons33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23af…3026backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b3…329fbacked Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x251b…40b3backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x369a…d5adbacked Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a5…b2d1backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477b…64afbacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4d…3b01backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603040%12 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf774…52afbacked Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb843…4149backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ff…1962backed Pistons31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6218…1818backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1652…c348backed Pistons31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb59a…0d99backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x597d…db82backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603046.7%14 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6092…87d4backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e55…3940backed Pistons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe332…cd94backed Pacers67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc20a…3173backed Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea2…30bdbacked Pacers68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.