NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b88c9d91a6f20b8628e26f397f5bfb4e6b30c361784681f1ba16022aea02eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Pelicans, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pelicans | 17c | 35,999$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220.09 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans | 53c | 21,534$11,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,401.1 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 16c | 17,741$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,758.94 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 23c | 15,291$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Pelicans | 16c | 11,497$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.19 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Pelicans | 0c | 10,150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 8,439$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.8 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 8,045$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.5 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Pelicans | 2c | 7,232$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 6,583$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.85 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 6c | 6,325$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…e0f6backed Pelicans | 12c | 6,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +184.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 5c | 5,006$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pelicans | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Pelicans | 17c | 3,729$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 15c | 3,543$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.68 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans | 17c | 3,527$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.57 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Pelicans | 16c | 3,327$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 32c | 3,060$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.71 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Pelicans | 17c | 2,531$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.23 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 2,495$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies | 62c | 2,447$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.39 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 20c | 2,299$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pelicans | 22c | 2,299$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Grizzlies | 64c | 2,200$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Pelicans | 27c | 1,872$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.45 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pelicans | 29c | 1,715$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.2 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,689$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.35 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,678$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.11 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 1,552$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.73 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Pelicans | 2c | 1,530$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 17c | 1,506$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pelicans | 28c | 1,463$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans | 21c | 1,332$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,194$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…7885backed Pelicans | 17c | 1,192$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,150$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…a869backed Pelicans | 19c | 1,122$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Pelicans | 3c | 1,089$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Pelicans | 16c | 1,087$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,070$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.12 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,010$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…6478backed Pelicans | 21c | 995.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 993$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies | 72c | 918.89$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Pelicans | 23c | 899.77$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans | 20c | 898.01$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Pelicans | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Pelicans | 8c | 851.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Pelicans | 17c | 800$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans | 16c | 766$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans | 18c | 750.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Pelicans | 15c | 734.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Grizzlies | 79c | 734.22$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Grizzlies | 56c | 722.3$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.13 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans | 2c | 707.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Pelicans | 17c | 613$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Pelicans | 19c | 602.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Pelicans | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 17c | 590.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Pelicans | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 579.08$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Pelicans | 16c | 577$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 68c | 516.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Pelicans | 17c | 516.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 504.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Grizzlies | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Pelicans | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Pelicans | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Grizzlies | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans | 16c | 494.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Pelicans | 22c | 463.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Pelicans | 22c | 460.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Pelicans | 16c | 418.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 64c | 415.51$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.74 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans | 17c | 414$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…e375backed Pelicans | 16c | 381.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Pelicans | 21c | 314.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Pelicans | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Grizzlies | 80c | 311.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Grizzlies | 48c | 310.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 304.84$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Pelicans | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…226fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 277$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Grizzlies | 77c | 273.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Pelicans | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Pelicans | 18c | 271$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Grizzlies | 74c | 265$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pelicans | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Pelicans | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans | 17c | 248$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans | 16c | 245$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.