TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ca8…1a39backed No51c9,310$4,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7353154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4861…6cbfbacked Yes55c5,659$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.35540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c4,247$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.7679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked No45c3,727$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.693333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes48c2,806$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.2425329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ef…1b6ebacked No42c2,321$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f92…15d2backed Yes58c2,321$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No44c2,291$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.1732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes62c2,070$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8434251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Yes59c1,707$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.983348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes56c1,276$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f66…4f72backed No42c1,139$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No42c1,075$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.3616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes64c1,008$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1769772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x69f0…c4e4backed Yes38c912.7$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes48c770.79$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.52050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No41c746.95$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9379650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No6c699.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Yes49c653.28$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes52c619.77$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes49c612$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3125740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes35c519.53$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.697839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1a03…b538backed Yes59c500$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Yes56c485.97$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.832725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes54c355$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.78937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x558e…9d39backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+55.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes58c343.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4214156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No44c340.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c335.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No43c322.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No50c312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12629653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No43c280.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4256158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1577…8949backed Yes55c261.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes49c255.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.091553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fc…cff4backed Yes58c245.31$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes60c226.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No41c225$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2514450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10511937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No44c202.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0917143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865048%24 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes57c197.02$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.723737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2e45backed No46c185.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.19450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…6f8bbacked Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked No57c174.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes59c171.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.372748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Yes58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No39c159.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2124062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked Yes58c155.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.171560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No43c146.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0560557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes41c123.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1725637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Yes63c111.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+46.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x771c…5284backed No45c109.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbeb…8b88backed No45c105.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed4…d5f0backed Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649a…8303backed No44c103.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4318232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af4…706ebacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes59c99.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.195641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91b…65c6backed Yes61c98.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.521080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2117146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes56c96.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4311353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2dd…7b74backed Yes56c95.68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2913449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1b0…a82cbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes57c81.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2995…6fc6backed Yes56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5566…a752backed Yes57c78.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc8…5671backed Yes57c77.16$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Yes58c75.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.434663%29 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.437934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa47…552bbacked Yes57c70.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed No43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e0…9e51backed Yes56c65.63$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb765…e17fbacked Yes63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4eb7…b6b0backed Yes59c59.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa771…04c4backed Yes57c55.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa2…030bbacked Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes56c53.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.414949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Yes64c53.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fca…4657backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.632450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f6…7a90backed Yes57c52.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes58c52.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.054845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca01…8008backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Yes53c50.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f7…bbd8backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.