Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x924c12e955ea181303caf036f0623cb69d3307b91067b630df4fe5d7bdc099e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 53c | 4,102$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Yes | 34c | 3,611$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 2,881$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.54 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 75c | 2,005$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 25c | 1,996$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 1,623$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.91 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 26c | 1,619$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 901.72$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.97 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 76c | 892.93$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 25c | 785.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 420$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 25c | 402.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 39c | 320$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 38c | 292.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 43c | 233.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…c4e4backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cab7backed No | 61c | 178.74$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…ec69backed Yes | 49c | 155.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed No | 76c | 138.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…50a5backed Yes | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…1bfebacked No | 76c | 73.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 26c | 70.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 28c | 62.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…4d16backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?Yes won
- Will Everton win on 2025-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.