NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc287b749c1c6eee77bdc3c15a9931ec40324f0d4e5321149675a5c59987482cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Raiders, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Saints | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Raiders | 55c | 28,234$15,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,804.31 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Raiders | 51c | 20,114$10,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,903.65 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Saints | 48c | 19,978$9,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,616.5 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Saints | 45c | 8,957$4,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,031.44 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Saints | 46c | 7,977$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.31 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Saints | 48c | 7,804$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Saints | 45c | 7,534$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.48 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Raiders | 56c | 6,000$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Raiders | 54c | 5,405$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.3 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 1c | 4,717$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Raiders | 56c | 4,201$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.36 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Raiders | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Saints | 49c | 3,072$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Raiders | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Saints | 34c | 2,777$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.78 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Saints | 46c | 2,389$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.66 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Saints | 46c | 2,341$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Saints | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Saints | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Raiders | 72c | 1,656$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.68 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Saints | 46c | 1,539$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raiders | 56c | 1,300$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Saints | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Raiders | 46c | 1,033$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…3265backed Saints | 45c | 1,017$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Saints | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Raiders | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Saints | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Saints | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Saints | 47c | 999.95$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.31 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Raiders | 65c | 955.26$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.26 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Saints | 48c | 943.75$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Raiders | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…b0fcbacked Raiders | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Raiders | 54c | 919.64$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Saints | 46c | 862.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Saints | 45c | 775$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.49 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Saints | 46c | 750.24$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.11 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raiders | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Raiders | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Saints | 47c | 690.18$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.35 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…ae23backed Saints | 40c | 671.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Saints | 43c | 667.08$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Saints | 28c | 661.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…808dbacked Saints | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…fd2bbacked Raiders | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Saints | 38c | 626.22$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…de05backed Raiders | 55c | 615.05$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Raiders | 53c | 609.87$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Saints | 58c | 605.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Raiders | 55c | 601.45$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raiders | 54c | 591.12$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.92 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Raiders | 60c | 512.51$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.36 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67fa…cdcfbacked Saints | 49c | 511.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raiders | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Raiders | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Saints | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Saints | 43c | 500$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raiders | 62c | 460.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Saints | 48c | 457.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Saints | 43c | 453.86$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 53c | 449.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Saints | 48c | 444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Saints | 45c | 441$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Saints | 40c | 418.37$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Saints | 46c | 405$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Saints | 5c | 402$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Saints | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Saints | 52c | 392.98$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Saints | 38c | 383.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Raiders | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Raiders | 54c | 375.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…bb74backed Raiders | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Raiders | 53c | 364.4$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…4689backed Raiders | 55c | 363.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Raiders | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Raiders | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saints | 28c | 282.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…9769backed Raiders | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Raiders | 58c | 250.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Saints | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Saints | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Raiders | 63c | 245.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Raiders | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Raiders | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Saints | 45c | 220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Saints | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Saints | 46c | 217.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…8e4cbacked Raiders | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…7956backed Saints | 54c | 213.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Saints | 55c | 211.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 96 | 64.6%62 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Saints | 48c | 209.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Saints | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 241 | 60.6%146 W · 95 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Raiders | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Saints | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Raiders | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Raiders | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Saints | 40c | 189.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Raiders | 70c | 188.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.