TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No50c13,986$6,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,965.1479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No23c13,319$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.4337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256a…9d0ebacked Yes46c11,164$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,063.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Yes40c10,245$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1471450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Yes73c9,253$6,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.921968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No28c7,991$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.9779650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Yes45c5,413$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,951.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No57c5,305$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,040.1840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No2c5,296$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.927839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No58c4,400$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55232158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes72c2,624$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.286854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No61c2,597$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.137240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No3c2,313$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6614342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes45c1,957$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.221741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes47c1,913$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.9711638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No16c1,910$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.63855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes72c1,758$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.5629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No59c1,724$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.3490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No57c1,705$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.8916660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed No60c1,575$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes45c1,123$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.961323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009148.4%44 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No53c900.25$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.123644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No55c883.11$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.715959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Yes59c801.22$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3025…fccdbacked Yes45c795.56$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.564940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c734.26$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes75c667.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.772969%20 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1218…366bbacked Yes53c610.58$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.971741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32444939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed No56c575.17$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-38.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.186838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes47c564$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.9236954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No55c504.96$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed No56c485.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.152725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes74c454.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.027241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c436$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7814156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.783020%6 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes45c425.62$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.635644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes46c413.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.0411937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No26c367.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No55c349$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes73c315.07$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.075740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c304.6$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1269772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17425339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Yes75c267.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No56c249.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9914854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes44c231.92$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2732822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes46c217.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.925048%24 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fc…cff4backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fd0backed Yes39c193.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.216737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.857934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c02…3690backed Yes75c151.79$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed No55c148.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.722352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No55c148.24$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5314450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46ed…3921backed Yes75c134.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Yes46c131.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.45635.7%20 W · 36 L-9.0wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.213330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x322f…9372backed No58c118.4$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6740%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1111353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc73f…b237backed No63c110.13$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.386137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a9…9bffbacked Yes44c103.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Yes73c100.95$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42fd…b633backed No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…0c1abacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd1…2509backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f36…f85abacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9b…9e90backed Yes45c99.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.52850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes45c99.07$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4910341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x083d…18b0backed Yes44c96.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes39c93.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0926247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x500a…4ee0backed Yes46c91.3$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…61b1backed No55c91.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes41c90$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.12828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No60c89.94$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1111846.6%55 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9bb…3767backed No58c86.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5808…3e81backed No63c78.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Yes45c75.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.565532.7%18 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes45c73.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.332733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42fe…42f2backed Yes45c72.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4329146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365e…ec69backed Yes74c67.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.