NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd41bda5cfd93e35245a74fde12c42b6a18b727647aeb1077e2bede4dc531ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,069,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,102,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,069,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Clippers | 51c | 117,486$59,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,568.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Nuggets | 49c | 107,070$52,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,040.06 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nuggets | 49c | 66,976$32,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,887.95 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 44c | 62,214$27,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,317.99 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 49c | 27,692$13,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,570.19 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Clippers | 51c | 27,000$13,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,319.94 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Clippers | 44c | 22,203$9,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,377.21 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 21,261$10,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,317.89 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Clippers | 47c | 20,698$9,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,068.1 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Clippers | 52c | 19,302$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,190.1 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Clippers | 53c | 17,092$9,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,033.45 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Clippers | 65c | 15,984$10,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.43 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Clippers | 57c | 15,762$8,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.36 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Clippers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.98 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Clippers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.96 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Clippers | 51c | 14,193$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,916.01 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Clippers | 53c | 13,868$7,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.92 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 47c | 13,818$6,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,502.75 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 12,492$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,147.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Clippers | 45c | 12,112$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.42 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Clippers | 58c | 11,289$6,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nuggets | 49c | 11,260$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568.9 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nuggets | 47c | 11,154$5,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.56 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Clippers | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 58c | 10,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Nuggets | 49c | 8,925$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.18 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nuggets | 27c | 8,893$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.5 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Nuggets | 39c | 8,513$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.35 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Clippers | 48c | 8,235$3,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.7 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Clippers | 52c | 8,074$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,877.87 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Clippers | 46c | 8,000$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Clippers | 55c | 7,997$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.52 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 47c | 7,642$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,559.65 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 45c | 7,500$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed Nuggets | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Nuggets | 48c | 6,999$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.75 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Clippers | 51c | 6,838$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.96 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Clippers | 51c | 6,800$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets | 49c | 6,503$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.05 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 6,480$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.35 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Nuggets | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Clippers | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.88 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nuggets | 58c | 5,983$3,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,461.52 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Clippers | 48c | 5,500$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.45 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Clippers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Clippers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 46c | 4,961$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,537$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.27 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Clippers | 53c | 4,450$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.92 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Nuggets | 41c | 3,494$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Nuggets | 47c | 3,472$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.67 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,368$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.17 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Clippers | 51c | 3,000$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,978$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,974$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.42 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers | 49c | 2,966$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.73 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Clippers | 48c | 2,743$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.33 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Nuggets | 42c | 2,712$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.12 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Clippers | 48c | 2,619$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.23 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Clippers | 51c | 2,586$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.43 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Clippers | 51c | 2,544$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Clippers | 46c | 2,382$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.61 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Clippers | 51c | 2,341$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.26 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,326$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.59 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Clippers | 52c | 2,284$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.3 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 52c | 2,238$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 2,140$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…181bbacked Clippers | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Clippers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Clippers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,955$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.48 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,900$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…7796backed Clippers | 60c | 1,776$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Clippers | 47c | 1,698$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.92 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Clippers | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…da9abacked Nuggets | 36c | 1,390$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Clippers | 44c | 1,343$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.02 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,267$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.26 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,229$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.67 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…dfb0backed Clippers | 73c | 1,220$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Clippers | 51c | 1,192$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,138$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.58 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,111$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,104$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Clippers | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,046$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.35 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Clippers | 51c | 1,040$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.39 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,015$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…23c5backed Clippers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.