Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c73b5d03913904f64baa213cf4ba49d029f063535c5588e9f9a93933c41ab6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 11,042$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.77 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 51c | 6,327$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.29 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 59c | 6,018$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.84 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Yes | 49c | 5,020$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 50c | 4,458$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.29 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 51c | 3,807$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.01 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 26c | 2,544$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.44 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 42c | 1,627$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.5 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 47c | 1,378$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.08 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,285$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 20c | 1,274$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.49 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,032$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.94 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Yes | 80c | 1,011$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 51c | 999.85$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 50c | 947.48$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.74 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 50c | 824.03$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 23c | 796.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.68 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 27c | 720.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.34 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 78c | 659.08$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.3 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…e084backed Yes | 66c | 596.45$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 49c | 567.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 48c | 540.05$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 76c | 524.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 49c | 485.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Yes | 51c | 483.43$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 50c | 476.12$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked No | 50c | 435$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Yes | 48c | 434.9$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 75c | 413.69$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 50c | 410.22$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…3b11backed Yes | 51c | 390.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 384$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.66 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked Yes | 48c | 342.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 55c | 337.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 51c | 332.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Yes | 75c | 330.47$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 41c | 329.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 16c | 320$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 57c | 306.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 298.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…54bdbacked Yes | 68c | 267.09$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…42a0backed Yes | 75c | 260.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes | 77c | 260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…cff4backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 49c | 247.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Yes | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 241.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 52c | 239$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Yes | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 18c | 220.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…2887backed Yes | 48c | 214.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…416cbacked Yes | 49c | 209.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 40c | 206.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…ec69backed Yes | 53c | 203.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…8556backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 63c | 194.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 55c | 180.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…cddbbacked Yes | 77c | 173.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 50c | 169.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked No | 51c | 166.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Yes | 50c | 159.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…007fbacked Yes | 51c | 157.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 50c | 121.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…564bbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 69c | 119.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189a…3692backed Yes | 51c | 118.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…04f1backed Yes | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa72…1285backed Yes | 51c | 115.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Yes | 76c | 114.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -5.7wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 51c | 100.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.