Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d6d46a3b258483b31629439a09147bfeba767eed23e6e05f8608400647eab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e16…9bffbacked Yes | 25c | 10,088$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,566.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…cb64backed No | 75c | 10,026$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 19c | 3,015$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.32 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 1,978$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.21 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 16c | 1,486$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…6d69backed No | 77c | 1,273$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,056$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.81 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 74c | 896.82$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 74c | 614.23$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.53 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 23c | 585$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Yes | 26c | 579.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.69 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 25c | 347.29$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 74c | 331.35$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 12c | 319.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 26c | 306.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 75c | 271.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.23 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 74c | 246.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…e83ebacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 149.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…ebc7backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…8008backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…e17fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…a82cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 26c | 77.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…c911backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 15c | 70.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…65c6backed Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…42a0backed Yes | 74c | 52.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6b…4d16backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 26c | 41.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…c8ebbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…6350backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 19.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f7…a194backed No | 75c | 14.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…6db4backed Yes | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.