Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb16a3551e564e5d01394dbb1235b7b344fa447814ffc4f72ff9989d50a4284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 64c | 20,429$13,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,166.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 35c | 11,040$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,191.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,372.21 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 41c | 6,680$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.77 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 35c | 5,963$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 64c | 5,059$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.95 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.94 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 59c | 4,922$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.02 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 66c | 4,137$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.46 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 33c | 2,497$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 68c | 1,680$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed No | 66c | 1,558$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 63c | 1,321$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.83 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 1,168$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.92 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed Yes | 35c | 1,118$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 80c | 758.85$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 67c | 758.36$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 59c | 595.76$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.26 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 36c | 550.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 44c | 546.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 37c | 541.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 37c | 541.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.02 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 64c | 499.96$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 65c | 459.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 37c | 458.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 34c | 420$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 37c | 406.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 62c | 389.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 35c | 328.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 65c | 323.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 34c | 317.65$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 289.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.28 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…720abacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +150%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 35c | 268.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 36c | 250.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 50c | 249.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 40c | 248.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 14c | 236.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 63c | 235.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 65c | 206.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2774…07dfbacked Yes | 67c | 180.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 170.07$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…2fe7backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 35c | 167.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed Yes | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Yes | 35c | 154.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 36c | 154.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 28c | 152.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Yes | 36c | 151.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 35c | 144.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Yes | 35c | 141.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 138.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes | 34c | 133.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 43c | 105.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…a285backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Yes | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 67c | 91.91$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 65c | 89.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…6995backed Yes | 36c | 87.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 34c | 87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 65c | 86.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…ec69backed Yes | 59c | 78.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…6439backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 61c | 69.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…ab4fbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa19…36ecbacked No | 65c | 66.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…f758backed No | 64c | 63.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?this page
- Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.