TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton win on 2024-12-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,604

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,799 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes34c4,650$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.5879639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f1…42a4backed No69c3,793$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.29450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes31c3,576$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.5940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No66c3,500$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.53154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes34c2,520$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.912540%10 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Yes34c1,734$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.686253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2b…f448backed Yes33c999.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No70c869$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No66c758.35$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.843360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes35c709.82$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.265232.7%17 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed No67c666.69$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.693652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No66c589.99$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes33c499.89$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9617945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed No67c493.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes23c443.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2c…1b43backed Yes36c442.15$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes33c409.09$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13524630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes5c408.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes34c323.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1414854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked No66c301.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.191741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No67c300$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed No68c260.02$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.953262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No67c250$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8342755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed No68c220.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.723557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes35c200.04$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0137054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2041…977fbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…6415backed No67c164.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.182360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8513449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bf64backed No67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed No67c148.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.943953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes35c147.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No67c135$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes12c112.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No79c107.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes36c95.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.526247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc0…5cdbbacked No65c94.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.172751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b60…0ed2backed No65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes18c81.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No64c81.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.547967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed No66c81.11$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.582352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.218232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…5321backed No66c79.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.97771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes33c78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7411915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No63c70.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2616660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35d…c9cdbacked Yes36c68.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98dd…b5acbacked No66c67.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes35c63.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211a…6c5abacked No64c61.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7b…80dfbacked No66c61.01$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No63c60.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No64c57.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.545550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8514…23f5backed Yes36c56.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Yes34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes37c54.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ba3…dc56backed Yes35c53.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe161…e377backed Yes34c53.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed No64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.892560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcddd…04e1backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…b66cbacked Yes36c48.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5340%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.146660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x013e…bc52backed No64c42.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c0…55a0backed No66c41.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b31…9d8cbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe608…0c2cbacked Yes40c40.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c19…e741backed Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0780…3ee5backed No64c38.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Yes31c38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f54…9d52backed No64c37.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f4…109dbacked Yes36c37.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb48a…a13cbacked No65c36.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…ae83backed No64c36.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c3b…7aacbacked Yes36c36.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…f839backed Yes36c36.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1a…af61backed No66c35.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f58…8f75backed No63c35.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…d2d0backed Yes36c35.36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…6d08backed Yes36c35.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a61…c7c0backed No64c35.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe45c…40e9backed No63c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.952948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd217…cd5ebacked No66c34.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…84b7backed Yes36c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a1…7637backed No64c34.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a0…25b9backed No63c33.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No66c33.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3320059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Yes34c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.335453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472f…edabbacked Yes36c33.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f5d…15debacked No64c33.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5a…6bb5backed Yes36c32.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac8…c934backed No64c32.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b1…857ebacked Yes37c31.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7770%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.