Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x930d8fa3edf9f3291e7b0fcf98d311ec8014c74f443310c5f5d9b112b1e7729d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0bc…1499backed Yes | 31c | 9,997$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…0f5cbacked No | 69c | 9,963$6,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 71c | 2,450$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 29c | 2,393$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.08 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 13c | 1,438$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 71c | 1,228$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.68 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 261.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 27c | 235$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 225$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c63abacked No | 69c | 188.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 188.15$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 69c | 126.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 30c | 117.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…b0c1backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 30c | 91.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked No | 70c | 79.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed No | 71c | 78.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 68c | 63.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…51b3backed Yes | 32c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 79c | 31.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…955dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5003…a70cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…0a58backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…3852backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…bd9abacked No | 70c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-29?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.