TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$853,270
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $853,270 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2bd…6822backed Hornets0c208,280$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7679…310cbacked Hornets1c179,795$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9043…2465backed Hornets0c169,139$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets0c39,610$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6172241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets5c12,172$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Hornets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets24c7,920$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.0565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Nets76c6,644$5,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.2511164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Nets47c5,521$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.8913140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hornets50c5,284$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.6536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets8c4,300$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets0c3,912$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Hornets54c3,800$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0529330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets44c3,717$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.6546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Hornets53c3,107$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.725845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Hornets40c2,477$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets40c2,443$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.851,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Nets45c2,230$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.4611355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hornets8c2,132$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4634425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets53c2,024$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.011,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Hornets57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92eb…44c4backed Nets45c1,995$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hornets56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets55c1,629$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.25,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Hornets40c1,586$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.497450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x925a…bf78backed Hornets60c1,463$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hornets57c1,438$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.7937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Hornets59c1,368$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.346253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets45c1,263$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.371,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Hornets59c1,225$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.7527840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets2c1,201$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.815502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Hornets60c1,145$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.8917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets55c1,116$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.2188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Nets47c1,109$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.084854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…4c30backed Nets40c1,001$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c5…90dfbacked Hornets53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829a…4cd5backed Nets46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Hornets56c970$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.26045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Nets40c956.85$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.1134169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets55c929.42$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hornets24c910.49$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…1837backed Hornets38c883.87$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Hornets60c870.78$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.479849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3391…0c06backed Nets40c866.84$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Hornets33c800$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605028%14 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets18c713.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets2c702.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Hornets54c692.09$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0435046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4c4…8441backed Hornets60c670.29$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.173450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Hornets61c656.18$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.051957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets53c602$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Nets75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15061851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets65c582.3$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets62c530.84$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Hornets53c518.87$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2757150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7228…74a7backed Hornets58c506.9$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets42c505$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce38…ac3ebacked Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a68…a2c1backed Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777b…4ae7backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903056.7%17 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4c…d6eabacked Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+48.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9587…39a8backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1f…bbd0backed Nets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b42…5090backed Hornets39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df0…87c7backed Nets55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6539…40fabacked Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0c…95dabacked Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903268.8%22 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+59.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4df5…41f3backed Hornets44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1a…13babacked Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb25d…6ca5backed Nets57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578e…6b7bbacked Nets60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe197…8f94backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa309…66a4backed Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22dd…5d99backed Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c9…629cbacked Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cdf…560cbacked Hornets43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2153148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405b…e576backed Hornets36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf8…db7fbacked Hornets39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…ab59backed Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf34e…eb5cbacked Nets61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+56.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f49…a680backed Hornets39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a37…ebb3backed Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068e…f8b6backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800d…e0b1backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ce…d6b4backed Hornets52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f9…a490backed Nets57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd8ea…63d9backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8464…0982backed Nets62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ab8…7b58backed Nets61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2713…fcbdbacked Hornets52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x555e…888abacked Hornets41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb89…aff7backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb37a…8767backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x448a…9e5ebacked Hornets45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65d2…caaebacked Nets61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba1…8a72backed Hornets38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.