NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f11f83fb8e412686efcb9430fcbeb326e91f24f4f90539070a3912cf6c31724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $434,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Lakers | 13c | 58,560$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.1 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Cavaliers | 65c | 40,203$26,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,075.16 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 35c | 35,692$12,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,343.51 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Cavaliers | 72c | 33,045$23,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,294.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lakers | 36c | 27,365$9,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,972.03 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 38c | 10,844$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.12 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Lakers | 9c | 10,000$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.74 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 31c | 9,464$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Lakers | 32c | 6,696$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.21 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Lakers | 35c | 6,150$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.55 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 6,000$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Lakers | 38c | 5,461$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 32c | 5,135$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,725$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.7 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Cavaliers | 78c | 4,480$3,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.96 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,403$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.11 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Cavaliers | 69c | 4,356$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 35c | 4,061$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.28 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,427$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.44 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Cavaliers | 63c | 3,132$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Lakers | 35c | 3,082$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.08 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Cavaliers | 64c | 2,982$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.19 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…4589backed Cavaliers | 67c | 2,949$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 33c | 2,922$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.06 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Cavaliers | 64c | 2,906$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.24 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,517$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.66 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,367$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.62 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Cavaliers | 79c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 1,948$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Cavaliers | 76c | 1,805$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.38 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 35c | 1,799$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.27 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,762$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.29 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 1,687$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.44 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…5e3fbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 1,647$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked Lakers | 33c | 1,640$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Cavaliers | 62c | 1,624$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 30c | 1,507$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.92 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,479$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lakers | 29c | 1,356$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,284$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 1,283$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Cavaliers | 67c | 1,228$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.37 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 1,116$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Cavaliers | 64c | 1,046$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.86 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 1,000$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Cavaliers | 66c | 1,000$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Cavaliers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Lakers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…ea54backed Lakers | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Lakers | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lakers | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 64c | 999.91$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.87 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Cavaliers | 74c | 939.62$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Cavaliers | 67c | 895.61$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.61 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Cavaliers | 73c | 886.28$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.46 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…7468backed Cavaliers | 66c | 880$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe057…6b8ebacked Lakers | 35c | 880$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Cavaliers | 72c | 846.26$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Lakers | 39c | 819.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Lakers | 26c | 813.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lakers | 38c | 810.54$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Lakers | 36c | 799.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Lakers | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lakers | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Lakers | 37c | 747.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Lakers | 28c | 736.96$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Lakers | 12c | 722.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 65c | 707.89$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Cavaliers | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Lakers | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Lakers | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…7374backed Cavaliers | 66c | 631.92$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Cavaliers | 65c | 609.23$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.23 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Lakers | 18c | 555.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 544.41$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 540.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…221ebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 526.63$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Lakers | 19c | 510.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Lakers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Cavaliers | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Lakers | 27c | 500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers | 64c | 473.09$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Cavaliers | 62c | 471.61$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lakers | 37c | 453$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 446.13$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Lakers | 34c | 437.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Lakers | 26c | 433.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Lakers | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…461bbacked Lakers | 37c | 413.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…07b8backed Cavaliers | 65c | 413.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…f192backed Cavaliers | 73c | 413.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Lakers | 37c | 404.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Cavaliers | 70c | 398.21$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.