NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4c4ecd60c6383a04e7319c2539af61492667c745d1e1108416b1b961c5d2e1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Falcons, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,713,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,807,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,713,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Commanders | 73c | 452,960$332,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,501.06 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Commanders | 59c | 409,714$243,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166,511.96 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Falcons | 46c | 208,222$95,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,109.45 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Falcons | 28c | 200,307$55,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,980.49 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Falcons | 35c | 128,162$44,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,506.57 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Commanders | 49c | 99,387$48,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,442.34 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Falcons | 31c | 87,844$27,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,203.87 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Commanders | 64c | 80,743$51,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,067.33 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Commanders | 26c | 80,345$20,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,711.64 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Falcons | 36c | 79,616$28,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,661.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Falcons | 34c | 72,333$24,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,806.66 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Falcons | 26c | 63,423$16,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,189.31 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Commanders | 69c | 47,576$32,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,808.05 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Falcons | 60c | 44,747$26,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,973.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Commanders | 63c | 41,782$26,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,614.61 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Falcons | 27c | 37,351$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,959.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Falcons | 20c | 33,284$6,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Falcons | 38c | 29,895$11,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,310.87 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…358dbacked Falcons | 35c | 27,000$9,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,330 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Commanders | 65c | 25,245$16,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,941.64 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Falcons | 36c | 24,285$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,624.6 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Falcons | 35c | 22,603$7,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,910.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons | 36c | 19,564$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.44 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Falcons | 21c | 17,080$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.04 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Commanders | 60c | 14,839$8,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.12 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Falcons | 36c | 14,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Falcons | 65c | 13,015$8,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,502.91 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Commanders | 64c | 12,771$8,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Falcons | 41c | 12,373$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.58 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Commanders | 57c | 11,805$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,042.65 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Commanders | 58c | 10,909$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.25 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Commanders | 63c | 10,726$6,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.66 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Falcons | 35c | 9,896$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Commanders | 66c | 9,840$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.78 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Commanders | 64c | 9,630$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.95 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Commanders | 50c | 9,150$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,561.45 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Falcons | 37c | 8,236$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.45 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Commanders | 39c | 8,200$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,009.45 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Commanders | 67c | 7,840$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.83 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Commanders | 70c | 7,840$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Falcons | 42c | 7,368$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.01 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Commanders | 61c | 6,732$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.78 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Falcons | 36c | 6,380$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Commanders | 64c | 6,266$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Falcons | 36c | 6,092$2,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.75 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Commanders | 59c | 6,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Falcons | 49c | 5,984$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.07 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Falcons | 35c | 5,662$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.77 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Falcons | 46c | 5,186$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.22 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Falcons | 64c | 5,120$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Falcons | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Falcons | 20c | 4,933$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Falcons | 29c | 4,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Commanders | 43c | 4,900$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Falcons | 28c | 4,768$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Commanders | 66c | 4,653$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.38 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Commanders | 46c | 4,494$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f1f5backed Commanders | 64c | 4,479$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons | 41c | 4,321$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.76 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Falcons | 36c | 4,046$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Commanders | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Falcons | 33c | 3,924$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.96 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Falcons | 12c | 3,379$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Commanders | 41c | 3,347$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.73 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Commanders | 64c | 3,281$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.25 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Commanders | 65c | 3,122$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.38 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x487b…eccbbacked Commanders | 56c | 3,120$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.35 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Commanders | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Commanders | 66c | 2,861$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.64 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Falcons | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c4…ae78backed Falcons | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Falcons | 51c | 2,841$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.79 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Commanders | 65c | 2,659$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.38 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Falcons | 34c | 2,626$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.24 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Falcons | 35c | 2,622$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.18 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Commanders | 79c | 2,500$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.61 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Commanders | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Falcons | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Commanders | 58c | 2,400$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Commanders | 56c | 2,205$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.37 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Falcons | 34c | 2,167$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.78 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Falcons | 42c | 2,011$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.31 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Falcons | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Falcons | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Commanders | 33c | 1,999$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.12 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Commanders | 59c | 1,963$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.97 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Commanders | 67c | 1,957$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Falcons | 66c | 1,938$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Commanders | 62c | 1,900$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Falcons | 25c | 1,900$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Falcons | 36c | 1,841$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.65 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d7…8adcbacked Commanders | 66c | 1,836$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 72c | 1,813$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.03 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Commanders | 66c | 1,703$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.47 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Commanders | 74c | 1,698$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.28 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…e69dbacked Commanders | 73c | 1,661$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Commanders | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Falcons | 34c | 1,532$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.23 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Falcons | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.