NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f5d6bcb65f13f179f6f5f1b94a3f88026f4f2f3bf81655de90b90f2c65ac751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Timberwolves, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $650,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $654,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Thunder | 62c | 182,227$112,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,316.45 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 0c | 41,578$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 44c | 37,346$16,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,602.54 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 32,159$9,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,593.55 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 44c | 29,533$12,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,931.95 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 27,367$13,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,495.36 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 32c | 18,262$5,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,817.72 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…b72dbacked Timberwolves | 0c | 17,502$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 32c | 16,960$5,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.82 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Thunder | 74c | 16,422$12,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.04 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Timberwolves | 31c | 11,495$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.91 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 28c | 10,490$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.18 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Timberwolves | 35c | 10,223$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.46 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Thunder | 69c | 10,000$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Timberwolves | 6c | 9,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 8,947$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 7,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…21b7backed Timberwolves | 1c | 5,852$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 27c | 5,496$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.83 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Timberwolves | 29c | 5,274$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.2 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,264$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.19 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Thunder | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 44c | 4,596$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.31 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 4,362$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.3 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 36c | 3,857$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.49 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…0af2backed Timberwolves | 28c | 3,830$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 3,450$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Timberwolves | 29c | 3,442$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Thunder | 48c | 3,122$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.7 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Timberwolves | 8c | 3,026$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Timberwolves | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.53 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,000$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.84 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4e…4facbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,630$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.18 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked Thunder | 72c | 2,558$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd67…4123backed Timberwolves | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Timberwolves | 10c | 1,967$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Thunder | 72c | 1,803$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 1,709$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.76 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 26c | 1,650$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,584$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,578$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.53 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,500$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Thunder | 71c | 1,341$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.53 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,300$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Timberwolves | 16c | 1,270$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Timberwolves | 3c | 1,204$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Thunder | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…f0c2backed Thunder | 71c | 1,187$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,165$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,126$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 3c | 1,065$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 30c | 1,033$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Timberwolves | 18c | 1,026$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Thunder | 67c | 1,026$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.21 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 72c | 1,000$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Timberwolves | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Thunder | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…1f0abacked Timberwolves | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 999.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Timberwolves | 26c | 999.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 27c | 986.56$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…acc7backed Thunder | 74c | 978.04$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 972.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Thunder | 52c | 961.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Thunder | 73c | 958.9$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.9 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 935.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Thunder | 71c | 930$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 71c | 929.58$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Thunder | 73c | 913.7$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.7 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Thunder | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Thunder | 59c | 884.58$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 34c | 877.79$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…5aaabacked Timberwolves | 30c | 874$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd50…543abacked Thunder | 71c | 874$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Thunder | 58c | 861.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.34 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…3cbebacked Thunder | 72c | 775.48$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Thunder | 65c | 774.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.81 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Timberwolves | 29c | 746.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Timberwolves | 28c | 724.17$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 71c | 709.84$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 33c | 704.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Thunder | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Thunder | 53c | 637.04$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.41 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 630$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Thunder | 70c | 615$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Thunder | 73c | 606$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 21c | 603.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Timberwolves | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Timberwolves | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.8 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Timberwolves | 28c | 575$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.