NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20969d48986a5ba07f70d341372b91b0fa337aefda89e8e5f679cfec4f14d487
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $954,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $933,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $954,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Spurs | 30c | 380,938$116,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,103.09 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 60c | 79,429$47,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,451.11 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 74c | 63,095$46,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,590.19 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 50,473$34,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,801.58 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0848backed Spurs | 33c | 40,497$13,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,218.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 56c | 37,383$21,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,344.72 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Spurs | 32c | 37,055$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000.17 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…5624backed Timberwolves | 74c | 34,932$25,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,933.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves | 66c | 24,183$15,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,235.22 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 70c | 24,105$16,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 35c | 20,685$7,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140.97 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 67c | 18,171$12,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.53 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Spurs | 54c | 17,071$9,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,215.89 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Spurs | 34c | 12,504$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.53 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Timberwolves | 50c | 11,911$6,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,908.29 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Timberwolves | 75c | 11,693$8,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Timberwolves | 73c | 11,370$8,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,016.14 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 73c | 10,379$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.18 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 10,289$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…5b30backed Spurs | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…8197backed Timberwolves | 66c | 9,998$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…7bc6backed Spurs | 34c | 9,998$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 8,640$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.18 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Spurs | 29c | 8,336$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.99 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Timberwolves | 46c | 7,201$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,869.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 66c | 6,734$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.83 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Spurs | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 5,640$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…dfedbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 5,490$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 59c | 4,536$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.62 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 4,510$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 4,400$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Timberwolves | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Timberwolves | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Timberwolves | 67c | 3,677$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 3,320$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.4 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 3,246$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.86 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,153$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.52 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Spurs | 34c | 3,008$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.64 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Spurs | 70c | 2,973$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.37 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Spurs | 79c | 2,952$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.31 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 32c | 2,506$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.81 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,393$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.47 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs | 24c | 2,352$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.25 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Spurs | 52c | 2,326$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 2,200$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 38c | 2,194$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.08 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,122$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.92 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,121$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.16 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,007$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.36 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spurs | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,961$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.31 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,826$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.2 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Spurs | 38c | 1,779$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.36 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Timberwolves | 58c | 1,706$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.94 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,602$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.49 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs | 33c | 1,473$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.33 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Spurs | 5c | 1,372$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,271$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Spurs | 79c | 1,243$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.37 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Timberwolves | 63c | 1,199$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.72 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Spurs | 33c | 1,196$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Spurs | 34c | 1,155$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,020$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,015$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Spurs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…d08cbacked Spurs | 34c | 992.06$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 68c | 966.27$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…969bbacked Spurs | 21c | 900$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 884$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Timberwolves | 66c | 860$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.4 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Spurs | 32c | 826.96$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 810$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 800$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 32c | 799.94$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Timberwolves | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Spurs | 37c | 725$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Timberwolves | 68c | 720.22$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 630.98$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 34c | 596.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad61…a2fbbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 519.95$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Spurs | 36c | 519.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Spurs | 36c | 514.08$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Spurs | 42c | 503.51$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Spurs | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…dfc0backed Spurs | 49c | 470.07$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…3237backed Spurs | 27c | 460$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 33c | 454$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Timberwolves | 67c | 452.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 67c | 446.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.91 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Timberwolves | 68c | 445$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.