Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0122a4c969b1644f684d938977eeb29f4afdec91b3edff934a068f2382c0858

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $160,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $162,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,237 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No	46c	21,268$9,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,557.42	227	44.5%101 W · 126 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	39c	13,967$5,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,583.97	796	39.6%315 W · 481 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Yes	53c	7,480$3,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,950	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4861…6cbfbacked Yes	79c	7,134$5,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,652.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No	45c	5,919$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,281.17	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	48c	5,899$2,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,075.54	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	35c	5,655$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,671.24	320	37.2%119 W · 201 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	47c	5,364$2,523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,840.88	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf719…987abacked Yes	47c	5,342$2,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,517.18	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	39c	4,835$1,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,948.68	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+27.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	32c	4,166$1,327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,839.19	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	54c	4,114$2,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,884.25	297	51.9%154 W · 143 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76a0…5a51backed No	34c	4,088$1,409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,679.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Yes	73c	4,006$2,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,931.2	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes	55c	3,143$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,743	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	56c	2,996$1,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,692.13	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	43cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes	51c	2,754$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.7	82	30.5%25 W · 57 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	74c	2,491$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,836.56	292	38.4%112 W · 180 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Yes	55c	2,296$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.38	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.02	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No	48c	1,981$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.16	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes	54c	1,853$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.96	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Yes	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes	54c	1,809$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.95	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes	75c	1,590$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.48	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfae…30a3backed Yes	56c	1,521$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x015d…6f8bbacked Yes	54c	1,500$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$810	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes	43c	1,414$606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.03	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes	56c	1,411$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	55c	1,392$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.71	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	42c	1,355$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.56	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes	50c	1,332$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes	75c	1,187$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.03	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Yes	53c	1,098$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fee…8f96backed Yes	44c	1,007$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	346	43.9%152 W · 194 L	-14.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No	45c	993.51$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$544.96	342	51.8%177 W · 165 L	+21.9wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Yes	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc43b…784dbacked Yes	54c	917.88$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfa…4678backed Yes	55c	915.69$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.63	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Yes	78c	891.5$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.37	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes	56c	877$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.12	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes	51c	850.69$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.26	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	47c	817.75$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.24	245	66.1%162 W · 83 L	+24.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	46c	799.97$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.98	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes	54c	740$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.6	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes	53c	725.25$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.38	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	45c	699.97$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.98	213	53.1%113 W · 100 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	60c	667.81$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf7f…8d1cbacked Yes	76c	657.89$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.76per pick	76cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes	50c	643.1$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed No	44c	600$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	53c	599.99$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	54c	592.59$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes	54c	569.17$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.43	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8e…fba1backed Yes	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	45c	551.97$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.67	605	57.5%348 W · 257 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes	54c	550.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5391…e91ebacked Yes	56c	537.5$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	45c	523.25$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.03	561	58.6%329 W · 232 L	+29.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed4…d5f0backed Yes	45c	522.54$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes	54c	518.61$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.99	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	50c	501.68$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	256	37.9%97 W · 159 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a03…b538backed Yes	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes	53c	499.98$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.99	296	53%157 W · 139 L	-23.0wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes	49c	497.45$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.02	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes	54c	462.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	88	25%22 W · 66 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Yes	78c	452.25$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.76	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	53cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	41c	430.96$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.14	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Yes	54c	425.13$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.57	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Yes	75c	402.33$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.75	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	63cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…94c3backed Yes	55c	396.54$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Yes	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes	77c	378.65$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.75	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fc…cff4backed Yes	60c	371.71$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.5	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadff…e3f3backed Yes	55c	370.8$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.94	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	141	56.7%80 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce48…3a25backed Yes	55c	362.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	65cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes	42c	353.17$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.08	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Yes	58c	345.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa713…b53dbacked Yes	77c	336.49$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes	75c	333.14$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.52	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes	53c	331.29$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec9…416cbacked Yes	54c	326.02$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes	57c	321.64$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5860…acbcbacked Yes	55c	307.11$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.32per pick	65cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	55c	306.33$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…75aabacked Yes	75c	300.32$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.24	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.7wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes	55c	300$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Yes	48c	282.7$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.43	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c02…3690backed Yes	54c	280.8$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.63	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b1…d2e6backed Yes	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+39%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No	46c	276$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.04	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes	55c	270$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9b…9e90backed Yes	54c	252.96$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.6	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	43c	247.68$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.13	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb660…195dbacked Yes	61c	244.2$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.06	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf44d…68acbacked No	44c	229.98$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?this page
Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Will Brighton win on 2025-01-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event