TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Magic, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$479,918
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$579,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,918 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Magic30c174,136$52,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,863.2311842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Magic0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pistons69c23,442$16,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,357.5729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Pistons55c21,480$11,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,665.99557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Pistons75c17,220$12,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,388.1411459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pistons73c12,568$9,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.9719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons61c9,072$5,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.9661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons76c8,352$6,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.1670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons71c8,257$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.0165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Pistons60c7,675$4,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.849952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Pistons62c6,956$4,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.446347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1c9…0b75backed Pistons54c6,899$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Magic47c5,963$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons67c5,043$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.7149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons52c5,022$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked Magic49c4,317$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Pistons54c3,855$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.847741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8774…17f2backed Magic46c3,723$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Pistons53c3,600$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.996450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c2…412cbacked Pistons51c3,400$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…7240backed Magic46c3,176$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Pistons53c2,734$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.054949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Magic45c2,357$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.0172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons59c2,315$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed Pistons54c2,235$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.021741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Magic3c2,154$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.731,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Magic46c2,052$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95028256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Magic47c2,040$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.483467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Magic1c2,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pistons68c1,945$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.3570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Magic47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Pistons54c1,796$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.35269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Magic46c1,744$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.373839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pistons70c1,548$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.8236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons44c1,547$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.6985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa63d…7c74backed Magic49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+59.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa447…57a2backed Pistons51c1,531$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Magic26c1,478$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3903537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Magic32c1,380$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Magic9c1,379$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Pistons55c1,367$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.942152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385f…54bdbacked Pistons73c1,365$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.352100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pistons52c1,319$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3639843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pistons54c1,258$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9815947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pistons55c1,250$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons52c1,204$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.1373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x757b…62c8backed Magic49c1,159$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6718644.6%83 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877b…83f1backed Pistons55c1,147$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.772157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Pistons54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.113956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Magic36c1,073$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Magic46c1,042$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.198548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Magic50c1,006$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Magic1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Magic46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646b…256dbacked Pistons54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…14dfbacked Magic46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Magic46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.981,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic33c985.52$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.551,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Magic57c950$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5391,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b4…5389backed Pistons51c932.32$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Magic2c926.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4334425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Magic43c854.41$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4693036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic21c800$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pistons53c793.43$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.3263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Magic46c764.03$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2923248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Magic39c741.11$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.257352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Pistons79c715.97$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3519231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Magic33c700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8997…8df7backed Magic45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Pistons60c656.28$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9817141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Magic47c638.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.014254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons51c583$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.792,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Magic45c580.27$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic32c526.85$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.31,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic52c526.26$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…0b45backed Pistons54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20c5…e000backed Magic47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Magic18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Magic58c444$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5220245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Magic13c411.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5288335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Magic6c403.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Magic46c399.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Pistons52c386.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7733638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Pistons52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.625862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic46c384.23$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Pistons55c362.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.18345.8%38 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Pistons56c359.58$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.047860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f8…acc7backed Magic28c357.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Pistons55c350.91$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9128657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…cefebacked Magic48c349.82$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Pistons75c331.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.918666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Magic30c331.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Pistons54c325.66$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.822955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons66c319.3$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.81,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Magic18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5222721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Magic18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ea…969bbacked Magic29c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c5…50a6backed Magic67c293.39$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd4…8c1abacked Pistons55c286.3$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.