TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Kings, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers49c39,419$19,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,930.8447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Kings72c27,430$19,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,873.5711164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings44c27,104$11,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,881.965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed 76ers25c24,855$6,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,653.4813140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kings37c16,247$5,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,936.4234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings50c15,462$7,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,706.811,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed 76ers39c12,745$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,744.9938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed 76ers26c6,826$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,025.9447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers23c5,150$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,944.931,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings18c4,639$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.9334425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings61c4,239$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.9149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Kings76c3,362$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55515763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Kings74c2,782$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.9512663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Kings72c2,769$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Kings77c2,591$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Kings2c2,400$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings62c2,079$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings73c2,067$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.031,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings75c2,027$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.1973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Kings71c2,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.997657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Kings3c1,948$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.917502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed 76ers72c1,764$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.135362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Kings76c1,709$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.015350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked 76ers80c1,671$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1414057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings75c1,644$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2311,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95fd…597dbacked Kings78c1,616$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed 76ers25c1,609$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Kings76c1,568$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.017450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed 76ers36c1,427$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.0425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings2c1,372$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.785502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Kings46c1,337$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.298540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x920a…77e0backed 76ers23c1,330$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04aa…a60ebacked Kings78c1,330$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x279e…3f3abacked 76ers25c1,324$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…f3aebacked Kings76c1,323$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Kings75c1,301$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.4927631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed 76ers25c1,184$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.3910533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings36c1,171$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.493,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Kings75c1,139$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.5328063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed 76ers26c1,136$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.5311428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed 76ers23c999.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9922721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers24c998.04$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.511,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Kings77c910$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.77248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked 76ers24c899.98$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed 76ers25c800.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.017636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Kings75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.710058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings75c799$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked 76ers25c790.42$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.935916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c46…3e5cbacked Kings76c776.32$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5902483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 76ers24c749.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9933945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings2c742.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa93…43c0backed Kings75c691$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked 76ers27c682.76$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers29c600.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2636434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Kings49c598.68$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9418632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers27c504.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Kings38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19048137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdcd…b751backed 76ers79c480.05$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.015100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed 76ers28c473.57$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.977140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Kings76c465.33$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.422272.7%16 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ffd…d225backed 76ers27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4413043.8%57 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed 76ers29c432.94$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5619650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings25c401.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4138132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fac…1367backed Kings76c401.11$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e0…5fd9backed 76ers25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdadc…15fcbacked Kings57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286250%31 W · 31 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings75c399.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked 76ers27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3712563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Kings76c370$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.27564%48 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa09b…a0ffbacked Kings76c363.29$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.18861.4%54 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked 76ers24c306.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2117363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d1…72b5backed Kings74c302.51$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2243050%15 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked 76ers29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21385449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings5c274.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1967911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings76c269.4$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3b8…3b05backed 76ers27c269.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Kings76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kings76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Kings76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed 76ers28c254.77$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.448122.2%18 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Kings11c254.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers29c250.67$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.341,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa740…e0e6backed 76ers22c250$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed 76ers23c245.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.96640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed 76ers27c241.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4845135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked 76ers24c228$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5573647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Kings75c225.48$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1112955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed 76ers46c215.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8615613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked 76ers24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3333638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Kings66c200.21$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13223835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15289353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb396…fbc0backed Kings5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-76.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked 76ers18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7837831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed 76ers24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15212040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Kings26c193.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.