NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9f3848c079693395f64db12b100d113a95d16d66f4637ffef947b51d9f5396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $573,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 12c | 23,307$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mavericks | 2c | 21,187$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Mavericks | 1c | 19,288$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Mavericks | 16c | 18,362$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.06 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Celtics | 75c | 16,203$12,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040.41 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Mavericks | 31c | 14,472$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 25c | 14,216$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.02 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Mavericks | 33c | 13,695$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.8 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Celtics | 68c | 12,102$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.06 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Mavericks | 25c | 11,745$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.75 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks | 2c | 11,600$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.87 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mavericks | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Celtics | 75c | 7,181$5,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.03 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Celtics | 66c | 7,000$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.37 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Mavericks | 27c | 6,558$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Mavericks | 37c | 6,420$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Mavericks | 2c | 6,211$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Celtics | 75c | 5,250$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.17 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Mavericks | 27c | 4,895$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…9059backed Celtics | 73c | 4,786$3,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Celtics | 67c | 4,452$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.44 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Celtics | 78c | 4,125$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 25c | 4,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Celtics | 75c | 3,850$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.76 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Celtics | 75c | 3,324$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 1c | 3,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…b561backed Celtics | 78c | 2,990$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 28c | 2,848$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.44 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Celtics | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Mavericks | 5c | 2,556$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Mavericks | 33c | 2,469$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.79 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Mavericks | 26c | 2,397$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.16 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 74c | 2,355$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Mavericks | 21c | 2,211$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.05 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed Celtics | 80c | 2,161$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa412…5230backed Celtics | 74c | 2,068$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 17c | 2,001$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Mavericks | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,905$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.54 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Mavericks | 26c | 1,846$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 72c | 1,750$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Mavericks | 26c | 1,708$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Celtics | 74c | 1,554$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Mavericks | 26c | 1,550$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,498$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Mavericks | 26c | 1,340$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Celtics | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,306$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.63 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Celtics | 66c | 1,261$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.66 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Mavericks | 26c | 1,173$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,134$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Mavericks | 27c | 1,120$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.27 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Celtics | 67c | 1,050$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.52 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 24c | 1,030$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Mavericks | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…1a90backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…e6eebacked Celtics | 75c | 999.01$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 74c | 976.99$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.02 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…3aa4backed Celtics | 74c | 948.42$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Mavericks | 27c | 939.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…db5ebacked Celtics | 75c | 938.35$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 74c | 921$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics | 74c | 889.7$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.32 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…5fb3backed Celtics | 75c | 829.24$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Celtics | 67c | 809.47$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7ba4backed Mavericks | 26c | 803.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Mavericks | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 24c | 781.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…774ebacked Mavericks | 33c | 765.61$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.65 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Mavericks | 31c | 757.88$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.32 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Mavericks | 23c | 743.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks | 14c | 738.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 71c | 736.02$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Celtics | 73c | 733.34$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.17 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Mavericks | 25c | 699.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…138cbacked Celtics | 76c | 697$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…d9bebacked Mavericks | 26c | 697$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mavericks | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 65c | 649.86$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.66 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Celtics | 76c | 648.54$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks | 24c | 629.17$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Celtics | 74c | 602.04$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Mavericks | 26c | 580$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mavericks | 4c | 557.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks | 27c | 549.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Celtics | 67c | 547.21$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.86 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Celtics | 69c | 504.13$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Mavericks | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 24c | 483.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 64c | 477.43$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Mavericks | 29c | 470.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 24c | 465.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 24c | 460.43$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.