TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

North Texas vs. Texas State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Stateof North Texas, Texas State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$965,630
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,172,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $965,630 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed North Texas17c167,601$29,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,089.9586243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked North Texas5c110,485$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.77825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-61.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed North Texas5c46,980$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick21cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed North Texas16c35,244$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.6620341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…9661backed North Texas13c25,532$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.421435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed North Texas19c19,615$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.395520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked North Texas22c17,775$3,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,853.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked North Texas14c15,946$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed North Texas16c12,755$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.4719043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed North Texas1c11,067$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.982370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked North Texas20c10,696$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.3930949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed North Texas17c10,000$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.95166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick38cpaid-87.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe429…fb94backed North Texas26c8,748$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed North Texas17c8,045$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.289843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Texas State76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2003762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed North Texas19c4,802$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.511330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Texas State77c3,539$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.53363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked North Texas13c3,106$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.452213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-77.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeebf…065ebacked North Texas16c3,061$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed North Texas16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed North Texas13c2,436$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Texas State76c2,419$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.4520039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked North Texas15c2,357$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3923145.5%105 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked North Texas1c2,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c7…7f32backed North Texas16c1,531$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked North Texas20c1,500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2955543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf51…2037backed North Texas17c1,400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed North Texas15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed North Texas17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed North Texas30c1,167$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed North Texas32c1,064$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked North Texas10c1,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed North Texas20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed North Texas2c950$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed Texas State76c810.1$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked North Texas13c769.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed North Texas23c745.67$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.793542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked North Texas29c697.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x774f…ea29backed Texas State74c689.36$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked North Texas16c666.64$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.332040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed North Texas8c615.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8a…133fbacked North Texas16c568.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed North Texas15c538.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.674445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed North Texas5c529.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e04…a9b3backed North Texas8c516.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed North Texas10c501.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked North Texas19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked North Texas16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed North Texas14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706434.4%22 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed North Texas17c490$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.31921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef94…d101backed North Texas25c484.32$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed North Texas17c482.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed North Texas16c475$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed North Texas8c449.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.427414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed North Texas16c418.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.861050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+105.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed North Texas19c404$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.868643%37 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked North Texas20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801250%6 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+59.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Texas State77c399.99$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed North Texas27c375.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked North Texas21c333.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked North Texas15c319.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed North Texas13c318.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.241526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed North Texas15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-73.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed North Texas19c300$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked North Texas17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+84%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd249…6a1dbacked Texas State74c270.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed North Texas14c256.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed North Texas15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0355…4c8cbacked North Texas18c225$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-67%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c7f…9c99backed North Texas22c223.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked North Texas16c204.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.87653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed North Texas14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+120.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5b6…1fdcbacked North Texas5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked North Texas15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed North Texas25c198.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed North Texas16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e3…d649backed North Texas17c171.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked North Texas12c170$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed North Texas15c162.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked North Texas12c161.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd4…aa8abacked North Texas9c160$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked North Texas18c153.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.931656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0654…8165backed North Texas20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked North Texas13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc406…12bebacked North Texas21c145$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked North Texas18c143.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked North Texas15c135.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed North Texas16c125.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.015738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked North Texas16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked North Texas32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…c88cbacked North Texas21c119.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed North Texas17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c05…ce97backed North Texas19c104.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed North Texas24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed North Texas32c103.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed North Texas16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked North Texas11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-65.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed North Texas20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed North Texas25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc206…e084backed Texas State75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.