TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$301,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs29c23,732$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,826.4634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Pacers68c17,102$11,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,545.5511164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Spurs46c9,088$4,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,157.7247542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…00aabacked Spurs9c7,750$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.031216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Spurs48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40030251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c3…9059backed Pacers74c4,065$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.07666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Spurs21c4,011$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.318229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbfc…0655backed Pacers78c3,648$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers61c3,615$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.3165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers69c3,230$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.055,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Spurs46c3,200$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.999330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Pacers53c3,117$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.9811952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Pacers56c2,419$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.278251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Pacers65c2,354$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.729652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17c9…ee76backed Pacers54c2,155$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Spurs1c2,107$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.665502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs1c2,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498f…7b7fbacked Spurs10c2,044$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.15545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Spurs27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.961,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Spurs12c1,960$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6716919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Pacers59c1,847$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.613140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Spurs29c1,734$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf27…929ebacked Spurs21c1,731$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.242313%3 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Spurs45c1,523$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6901050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Spurs45c1,434$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.697140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Spurs46c1,342$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.4611654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs4c1,296$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.151,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers54c1,291$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.3677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Pacers54c1,231$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.494537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers54c1,214$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.6636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Pacers56c1,173$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.035151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Pacers55c1,106$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.127150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers65c1,096$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Spurs48c1,038$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pacers54c1,024$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.0425845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers64c1,018$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Spurs44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Pacers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pacers54c992.73$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.5612657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers70c968.52$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.8815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers56c961$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.411,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7415…4087backed Spurs46c950$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b01…10a3backed Pacers54c950$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers53c939.52$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.571,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00db…80dabacked Spurs36c939.2$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pacers54c937.7$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.8529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Spurs46c924.95$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3810131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Pacers55c905.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.851952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Pacers54c882.52$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.198337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e9b…9e90backed Spurs34c882.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Pacers58c861.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0266153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Spurs48c854.42$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.124951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d4…6775backed Spurs28c818.06$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.979638.5%37 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Spurs46c815$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.917047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs42c782$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e63…5ebfbacked Spurs17c778.25$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.31020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Spurs33c771.68$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.119145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Spurs30c752.39$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5511249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Pacers73c693.99$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2717363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Spurs43c645$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.354632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Pacers53c604.72$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.223231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers64c585.42$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Spurs35c577.14$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20238027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pacers54c561$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.212,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Spurs35c552.07$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2372241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ef…2c77backed Spurs48c532.09$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.42352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Spurs39c518.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4290…7eb0backed Spurs2c517.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.483135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pacers53c504.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Spurs13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6521723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc441…92eabacked Pacers50c496.38$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.421145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers52c488.58$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.5237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9213…3aa4backed Spurs32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa438…9b9fbacked Pacers55c449.94$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4712759.8%76 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x278b…8181backed Pacers54c435.9$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8c…2cb4backed Spurs46c435.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+176.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdde…9d2ebacked Spurs47c427.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs47c421.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs26c417.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Pacers76c415.2$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3651451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6215…1046backed Spurs25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010623.6%25 W · 81 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pacers56c399.28$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs45c381.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Pacers61c380.15$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1412955%71 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x144e…8776backed Spurs46c335.29$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489a…bcdebacked Spurs47c319.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid0%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs43c314.13$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1850245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Spurs48c309.99$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.88547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4225…8476backed Spurs6c308.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spurs48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8768642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs43c300$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.