NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18e4070f82b532b0ef518836758ad09603ae0f58442b12459b49bcfd39ff8d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $736,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Heat | 32c | 144,277$46,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,569.3 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 69c | 27,612$19,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,080.43 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Heat | 41c | 27,246$11,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,078.83 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 36c | 27,132$9,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,847.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…135cbacked Rockets | 59c | 16,949$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 66c | 16,152$10,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,686.36 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Rockets | 60c | 13,508$8,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,129.47 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 63c | 13,471$8,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,528.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 1c | 11,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 25c | 10,016$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,537.08 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…5624backed Heat | 79c | 8,461$6,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Heat | 42c | 5,971$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.48 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 60c | 4,748$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.52 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Rockets | 70c | 4,404$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.67 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Rockets | 77c | 4,383$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.59 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Rockets | 69c | 4,305$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.79 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Rockets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Rockets | 65c | 3,438$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Rockets | 73c | 3,431$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.83 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 76c | 3,060$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.6 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Rockets | 62c | 3,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Rockets | 57c | 2,753$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed Heat | 25c | 2,745$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rockets | 75c | 2,409$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.68 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 72c | 2,036$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.88 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…4f5abacked Heat | 14c | 1,906$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Rockets | 68c | 1,834$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.38 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Heat | 24c | 1,809$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 23c | 1,718$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.76 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Heat | 29c | 1,507$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Rockets | 76c | 1,505$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.66 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 74c | 1,437$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.42 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Rockets | 73c | 1,144$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.46 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Heat | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 72c | 1,000$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 71c | 999.99$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…bc50backed Rockets | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Heat | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Heat | 23c | 997.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…af5bbacked Heat | 26c | 981.54$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 32c | 980.45$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.85 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Rockets | 65c | 954.28$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.76 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Heat | 25c | 919.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Heat | 53c | 888.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Rockets | 67c | 842.95$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.98 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…b72dbacked Rockets | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Heat | 80c | 731.64$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…4a9dbacked Rockets | 75c | 728$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heat | 19c | 715.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.59 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets | 70c | 712.62$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.46 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…08bfbacked Rockets | 2c | 700$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Rockets | 1c | 694.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Rockets | 75c | 615.5$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Heat | 39c | 615.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.38 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Heat | 24c | 615$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heat | 31c | 605.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.39 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Heat | 19c | 572.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6c…db77backed Rockets | 77c | 533.86$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Heat | 36c | 512.74$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Heat | 23c | 511.11$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ff…d2e7backed Rockets | 76c | 510.31$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Rockets | 29c | 506.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Heat | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Heat | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Heat | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Rockets | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 36c | 484.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.83 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 74c | 463.67$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.49 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Rockets | 59c | 450$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 72c | 435.22$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Heat | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Heat | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Rockets | 55c | 414.73$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.84 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Heat | 24c | 400$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.1 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Heat | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…65afbacked Heat | 28c | 396.9$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets | 68c | 379.1$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Heat | 27c | 366.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.43 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Heat | 23c | 350$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.62 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Heat | 15c | 341.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.47 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 32c | 334.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Rockets | 7c | 334$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Rockets | 74c | 329.12$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.34 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…396cbacked Heat | 33c | 325$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Heat | 30c | 307.87$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.87 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…977fbacked Heat | 24c | 306.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Rockets | 63c | 299.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Rockets | 74c | 270.78$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…208fbacked Heat | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…8836backed Rockets | 73c | 255$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Heat | 24c | 250.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Heat | 24c | 237.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.