NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde38d4aa18802634ff6aa513da6cc8f951e8a99cd5c0136c7f683eb366883006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Nets | 31c | 26,404$8,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,182.96 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Nets | 3c | 24,673$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.2 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 75c | 20,036$14,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.26 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Heat | 76c | 15,098$11,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.52 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 25c | 12,378$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.22 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 17c | 11,355$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nets | 26c | 9,989$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.73 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets | 6c | 8,872$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.99 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 24c | 7,700$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nets | 27c | 6,409$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.44 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 71c | 4,454$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.13 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Heat | 71c | 4,056$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.33 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…70a7backed Nets | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Nets | 5c | 3,573$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets | 4c | 3,500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Nets | 12c | 3,017$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…51fdbacked Heat | 75c | 2,789$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Heat | 70c | 2,744$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.25 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets | 23c | 2,517$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.23 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nets | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Nets | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nets | 1c | 2,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 74c | 2,500$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Nets | 27c | 2,309$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.06 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 74c | 2,295$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Nets | 22c | 2,275$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nets | 5c | 2,260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Heat | 72c | 2,250$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.13 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Heat | 80c | 2,049$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…c995backed Nets | 21c | 1,944$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Nets | 25c | 1,776$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Nets | 24c | 1,757$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 76c | 1,750$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Nets | 24c | 1,405$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.27 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nets | 28c | 1,340$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.2 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…e364backed Nets | 29c | 1,300$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +55%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7d97backed Heat | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…0832backed Heat | 75c | 1,232$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Heat | 72c | 1,114$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nets | 22c | 1,019$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…e6eebacked Nets | 24c | 1,001$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…ec97backed Nets | 1c | 1,001$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Nets | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…1a90backed Heat | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nets | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 76c | 999.8$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Nets | 2c | 987.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d5…f8dcbacked Heat | 77c | 933.65$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Nets | 31c | 914.68$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 76c | 900.5$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nets | 2c | 899.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 77c | 875$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Heat | 80c | 861.15$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 1c | 792.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 23c | 784.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…03c5backed Heat | 77c | 750.8$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Nets | 23c | 750.8$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Heat | 75c | 730$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Heat | 72c | 724.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Heat | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Heat | 76c | 649.15$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Heat | 74c | 580.19$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nets | 5c | 575.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Heat | 74c | 561.92$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Nets | 36c | 557.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Nets | 12c | 543.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 69c | 540$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 71c | 499.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nets | 22c | 497.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…bcdebacked Nets | 24c | 450.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe00…20c6backed Heat | 77c | 450.08$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 72c | 444$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nets | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 76c | 385.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Nets | 24c | 385$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets | 23c | 375$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets | 24c | 371.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Heat | 76c | 369.65$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…e9a2backed Heat | 77c | 342.86$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Nets | 23c | 327.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 77c | 263.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Nets | 24c | 249.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 68c | 225.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Nets | 23c | 220.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Heat | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Heat | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc85…6062backed Heat | 76c | 199.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 6c | 199$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…9e90backed Nets | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Nets | 17c | 156.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Nets | 22c | 147.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…5d81backed Heat | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…cefebacked Heat | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.