NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ff09b5ebab7398acc7686bc967141b980d6aeb61f15995268002e67be07c33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Bengals, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,302,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,404,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,302,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Steelers | 18c | 349,761$62,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,746.03 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Steelers | 25c | 205,794$51,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,706.05 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Steelers | 37c | 135,878$49,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,665.94 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Bengals | 65c | 128,721$83,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,518.93 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Bengals | 66c | 126,177$83,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,410.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Steelers | 44c | 86,758$38,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,372.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Steelers | 33c | 71,528$23,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,852.73 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Steelers | 31c | 70,000$21,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,900 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Steelers | 37c | 67,874$25,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,168.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Steelers | 26c | 30,237$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,839.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Steelers | 20c | 30,027$6,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.36 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Bengals | 56c | 28,391$15,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,511.05 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Steelers | 17c | 18,901$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers | 19c | 17,754$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450.91 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Bengals | 55c | 16,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.9 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Steelers | 23c | 15,698$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.44 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Steelers | 27c | 14,133$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.99 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Bengals | 78c | 13,986$10,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.89 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers | 28c | 13,969$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.4 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Bengals | 60c | 13,378$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Steelers | 28c | 13,066$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.44 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bengals | 56c | 12,401$6,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.53 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Bengals | 56c | 12,236$6,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394.44 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Steelers | 10c | 10,068$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.34 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Steelers | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bengals | 64c | 9,712$6,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.81 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Bengals | 70c | 7,142$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.63 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…ffb0backed Steelers | 1c | 6,035$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Steelers | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.99 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bengals | 60c | 5,553$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.86 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Bengals | 73c | 5,541$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Steelers | 24c | 5,112$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Steelers | 26c | 5,024$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.03 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Steelers | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Steelers | 45c | 4,960$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Steelers | 44c | 4,763$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Bengals | 74c | 4,455$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Bengals | 56c | 3,965$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.39 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6b…fcefbacked Steelers | 27c | 3,658$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Steelers | 45c | 3,656$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Bengals | 62c | 3,600$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.43 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Steelers | 40c | 3,397$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…6f8bbacked Bengals | 56c | 3,294$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Bengals | 65c | 2,910$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.85 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Bengals | 78c | 2,711$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.06 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Bengals | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bengals | 52c | 2,632$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.23 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Steelers | 35c | 2,586$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.91 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Bengals | 56c | 2,558$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bengals | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Steelers | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bengals | 54c | 2,357$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.75 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bengals | 78c | 2,341$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.4 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Bengals | 56c | 2,277$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.79 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Bengals | 68c | 2,210$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Steelers | 33c | 2,128$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.23 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bengals | 67c | 2,102$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.24 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bengals | 55c | 2,040$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Steelers | 40c | 2,018$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Steelers | 38c | 2,017$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.13 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bengals | 77c | 2,008$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.6 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Steelers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Bengals | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bengals | 57c | 1,999$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.57 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Steelers | 30c | 1,933$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.23 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bengals | 58c | 1,927$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.65 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Bengals | 74c | 1,890$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.46 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Bengals | 56c | 1,841$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Bengals | 72c | 1,788$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Bengals | 55c | 1,750$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Steelers | 45c | 1,704$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.7 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Bengals | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bengals | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.98 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Bengals | 73c | 1,688$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Bengals | 77c | 1,588$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Bengals | 55c | 1,564$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.75 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Bengals | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bengals | 55c | 1,559$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.95 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Steelers | 24c | 1,558$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.26 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…1bc7backed Bengals | 65c | 1,516$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…6cd3backed Bengals | 66c | 1,516$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bengals | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bengals | 57c | 1,500$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.2 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…aa48backed Steelers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…c566backed Bengals | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Steelers | 45c | 1,483$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Bengals | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Steelers | 19c | 1,387$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.91 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Steelers | 38c | 1,367$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Steelers | 45c | 1,325$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Bengals | 57c | 1,314$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bengals | 55c | 1,256$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.36 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Bengals | 60c | 1,245$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.9 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Steelers | 45c | 1,229$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bengals | 66c | 1,200$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…1b36backed Steelers | 41c | 1,142$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Steelers | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.22 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…cc82backed Steelers | 34c | 1,113$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Steelers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Bengals | 57c | 1,100$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.