Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa776a7c2556d6af1e1cb825ed27e4db012b12964778c0aec99215aaaff7480e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…44fdbacked No | 1c | 15,109$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 43c | 11,862$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.74 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 32c | 10,040$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.91 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 2c | 8,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 7,763$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.09 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…5389backed No | 31c | 7,700$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed Yes | 69c | 7,648$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 7,171$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.64 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 11c | 5,801$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.12 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 64c | 5,435$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.33 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 68c | 4,666$3,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 32c | 3,060$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.13 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 2c | 2,500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Yes | 69c | 2,323$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe04f…cfc5backed Yes | 46c | 2,230$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 34c | 2,222$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 54c | 2,149$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.13 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 66c | 1,864$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 65c | 1,721$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed No | 39c | 1,621$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf719…987abacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed No | 32c | 1,516$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 34c | 1,386$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.1 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,006$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.36 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 62c | 1,003$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 49c | 948.68$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.51 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 63c | 946.34$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 68c | 907.18$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 66c | 880.13$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 36c | 851.37$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 844.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.81 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 32c | 781.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.23 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 748.99$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 65c | 738.54$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.49 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 68c | 738.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.17 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 68c | 730.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed No | 33c | 718.18$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 65c | 706.17$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 30c | 699.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 41c | 690$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 65c | 690$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed No | 37c | 654.05$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 69c | 652.17$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Yes | 66c | 606.53$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 35c | 599.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…4ae3backed Yes | 66c | 580.53$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 36c | 563$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 68c | 562.29$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.29 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 57c | 560$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 33c | 515.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 68c | 512.11$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 68c | 507.82$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 76c | 504.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.71 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…ce65backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…8cdfbacked Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 33c | 495.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 68c | 459.69$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked No | 30c | 453.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked No | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…c557backed No | 34c | 441.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 42c | 415.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 49c | 403.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…cff4backed Yes | 64c | 380.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 65c | 366.15$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 43c | 352.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…94c3backed Yes | 69c | 352.17$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 69c | 351.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 64c | 341.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 34c | 338.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 68c | 333.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.23 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 34c | 332.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadff…e3f3backed Yes | 46c | 327.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 30c | 323.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…8df7backed Yes | 64c | 312.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…2fe7backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 64c | 310.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 64c | 305.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 69c | 303.41$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…2b7bbacked No | 37c | 302.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…0c1abacked Yes | 69c | 301$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 66c | 293.94$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…7493backed Yes | 66c | 293.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 65c | 290.49$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 27c | 290$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…531fbacked No | 37c | 270.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.