Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd762a421c67746c9f46c714a04e95930bf86f7ab65697d5b7cc8116fa1efaae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $295,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x133a…674bbacked Yes | 14c | 128,000$17,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…44fdbacked Yes | 15c | 100,043$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 10,002$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.32 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Yes | 16c | 3,203$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 14c | 3,060$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,866$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.19 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 12c | 1,232$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…11b5backed Yes | 15c | 1,006$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 23c | 848.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…e12cbacked No | 69c | 824.97$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 15c | 745.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Yes | 15c | 718.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 14c | 714.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…cab4backed Yes | 21c | 564.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 16c | 544.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 28c | 441.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 23c | 431.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…cddbbacked Yes | 8c | 429.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 22c | 415.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked No | 69c | 355$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…21bbbacked Yes | 6c | 339.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 301.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 80c | 264.3$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…4533backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…ce65backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…f57dbacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 13c | 133.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 15c | 132.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…19ecbacked Yes | 14c | 114.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…4428backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc206…e084backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…3814backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…0461backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 22c | 89.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 14c | 87.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…5249backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…bde3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-01-01?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?Yes won
- Will Brentford vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.