NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc780ec1d53901534e0bd3de5069b0b968f5c8245b9571d09736e94d3674fd86e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $381,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3168…6734backed Rockets | 28c | 19,400$5,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,409.76 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 46c | 15,245$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,179.75 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Warriors | 79c | 14,605$11,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.6 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Rockets | 1c | 12,469$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Rockets | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…eecfbacked Rockets | 63c | 8,640$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430.41 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…3cffbacked Warriors | 64c | 8,360$5,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 54c | 7,527$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Warriors | 35c | 7,498$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,877.97 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 29c | 6,726$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.99 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1f…f491backed Rockets | 42c | 6,588$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Warriors | 71c | 5,919$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 55c | 4,740$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.49 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 65c | 4,665$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Warriors | 46c | 4,612$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.6 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 38c | 4,211$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.52 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Rockets | 33c | 3,882$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.54 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 36c | 3,461$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.59 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Warriors | 47c | 3,330$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.96 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Warriors | 76c | 2,870$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.43 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Warriors | 75c | 2,760$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.07 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 57c | 2,625$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Rockets | 61c | 2,359$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.22 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Warriors | 39c | 2,343$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.31 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Rockets | 63c | 2,282$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.94 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Rockets | 44c | 2,277$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Warriors | 55c | 2,171$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.6 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Warriors | 47c | 2,133$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.41 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,124$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 38c | 2,045$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Rockets | 57c | 1,907$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.07 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 43c | 1,828$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.58 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Warriors | 39c | 1,780$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.96 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Rockets | 62c | 1,761$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.79 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets | 46c | 1,642$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.8 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Rockets | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Rockets | 60c | 1,488$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.98 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 42c | 1,435$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Warriors | 70c | 1,313$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5097…08abbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,305$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…dc5ebacked Warriors | 41c | 1,228$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…0b03backed Rockets | 61c | 1,197$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…5760backed Rockets | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 39c | 1,090$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.87 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…487abacked Rockets | 27c | 1,087$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 43c | 1,064$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Rockets | 40c | 1,058$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Rockets | 45c | 1,047$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 42c | 1,025$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.9 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Warriors | 49c | 1,019$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.91 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Rockets | 55c | 1,009$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0356…fd34backed Rockets | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Warriors | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Warriors | 73c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.57 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Warriors | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb341…cbdcbacked Rockets | 61c | 947.43$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Warriors | 38c | 946.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Rockets | 55c | 944.28$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.95 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…2c31backed Rockets | 51c | 922.12$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Rockets | 60c | 919.43$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Rockets | 63c | 900$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 51c | 894.88$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.28 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Warriors | 40c | 889.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.03 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Warriors | 35c | 868.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.79 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Rockets | 25c | 831.4$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Rockets | 18c | 808.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Rockets | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 50c | 777.57$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.62 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Warriors | 72c | 770.83$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Warriors | 37c | 770$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Warriors | 75c | 760.86$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Warriors | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…7a9fbacked Warriors | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Rockets | 59c | 744.43$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.49 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Warriors | 75c | 733.46$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Rockets | 61c | 702.41$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.47 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 38c | 690$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.95 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Warriors | 66c | 680.61$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Rockets | 15c | 667.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…4d24backed Rockets | 63c | 634.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Rockets | 38c | 608.35$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.97 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed Rockets | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rockets | 53c | 597.96$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 38c | 578.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.3 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rockets | 63c | 576.97$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.49 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…90d7backed Rockets | 63c | 507.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Warriors | 59c | 501.29$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Warriors | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Rockets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 63c | 473$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…a0ecbacked Rockets | 65c | 464.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 71c | 445.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Warriors | 69c | 434.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 80c | 434.51$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98c…acb2backed Warriors | 40c | 427.46$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Rockets | 24c | 420.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Warriors | 40c | 420.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets | 40c | 403.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Rockets | 31c | 400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.