TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$258,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x873c…ac48backed Pistons0c29,046$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf9…e7bebacked Pistons0c23,944$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons31c18,405$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,645.2622832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons40c11,285$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.1365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Bucks59c7,610$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pistons40c6,927$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.2429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Pistons41c6,681$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.8515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pistons4c6,305$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.311719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Bucks58c5,500$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3153754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e2…a960backed Bucks59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pistons1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bucks74c4,819$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.1412563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks61c4,193$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.431,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks68c3,648$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.3549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8625…90afbacked Bucks55c3,501$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons21c3,302$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.831,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons42c3,220$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.5377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Bucks71c3,120$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.274766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Bucks59c3,110$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.133450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bucks59c3,031$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.566873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Pistons40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.911428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a7…75e2backed Pistons39c2,539$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…a976backed Bucks61c2,505$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pistons38c2,456$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.7185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Bucks67c2,397$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.018561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Pistons40c2,359$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.186167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Pistons1c2,340$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Bucks76c2,113$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.774870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pistons39c2,100$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Bucks70c2,033$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.774858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Bucks61c2,000$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.319642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pistons25c1,971$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.6621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pistons29c1,912$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.6861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e90…2097backed Pistons43c1,843$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.4940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9390…dca0backed Bucks60c1,829$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons30c1,726$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd3…9d0abacked Bucks77c1,621$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pistons39c1,426$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.2111143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Bucks76c1,321$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.562857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pistons2c1,310$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Pistons39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb67…dbdebacked Bucks58c1,229$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Bucks63c1,180$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.892080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ebf…6961backed Bucks60c1,171$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons40c1,117$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.461,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Pistons2c1,100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pistons43c1,079$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pistons16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Bucks58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Pistons40c975.9$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.365911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40af…0aa6backed Pistons38c959.98$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Pistons38c865.98$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.075438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed Pistons40c844.06$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.071450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bucks59c843.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.028548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks68c815.55$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.991,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d2…7d97backed Pistons41c810.96$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked Pistons41c781.79$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Bucks60c750.23$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.092755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Bucks60c702.95$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.088469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Bucks60c648.33$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.334341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbd…65afbacked Bucks60c615.9$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.361776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x986f…cac8backed Pistons41c601.33$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.551323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed Bucks58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons36c590.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks59c559.08$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2233752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Bucks60c500.44$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4428657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Pistons7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bucks58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7551…a8e9backed Bucks58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Bucks58c499.68$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.877657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons40c498.71$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.073,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons39c488.9$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons37c473.25$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons34c420.27$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0173…c5adbacked Bucks62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Pistons43c358$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.944348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Bucks54c340.8$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7727739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Bucks66c316.22$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.514656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Bucks65c305.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.474727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd31…4f6dbacked Bucks61c300.07$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.033372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Bucks72c300$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.511146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Bucks58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa077…9c54backed Pistons18c294.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pistons5c282$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ce…83acbacked Bucks62c270.18$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Bucks66c270$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Bucks56c261.51$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9148137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Pistons26c255.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0811235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Bucks53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80e8…c4b5backed Bucks62c249.64$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…255ebacked Bucks58c242.84$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.992466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pistons38c238.05$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6517244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Pistons43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495d…b549backed Pistons39c230.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d0…8d03backed Pistons39c230.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa029…d0f4backed Bucks62c223$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons36c220.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.881,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.