NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf42e755714e5c5f5a2120efcb19b39c8630dd91ce0143d67ac62bdde6a5d8da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 802 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Mavericks | 31c | 36,683$11,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,392.93 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 33,244$11,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,159.09 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Timberwolves | 67c | 20,637$13,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,860.05 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Mavericks | 67c | 19,464$13,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,041.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks | 5c | 11,207$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.67 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…c905backed Mavericks | 67c | 10,045$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6108…4cb5backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,038$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…7358backed Timberwolves | 33c | 10,037$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,724.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…a062backed Timberwolves | 34c | 10,035$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,623.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…296abacked Mavericks | 67c | 10,017$6,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…b408backed Mavericks | 66c | 10,017$6,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.98 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks | 17c | 8,612$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.42 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 8,112$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.22 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Mavericks | 8c | 8,044$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.06 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mavericks | 1c | 7,989$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Mavericks | 66c | 7,965$5,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,257.22 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Mavericks | 32c | 7,206$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.14 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Mavericks | 12c | 7,046$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.95 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 5,317$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.95 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 35c | 5,275$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.85 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 50c | 5,166$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Timberwolves | 34c | 4,835$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,203.81 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Mavericks | 64c | 4,656$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.95 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Mavericks | 59c | 4,069$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.25 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Mavericks | 1c | 3,575$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 34c | 3,320$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.18 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Mavericks | 60c | 3,095$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 61c | 2,801$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.66 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Mavericks | 9c | 2,679$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 35c | 2,515$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.23 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Mavericks | 9c | 2,226$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.82 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Timberwolves | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Mavericks | 7c | 1,990$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,800$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mavericks | 29c | 1,769$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,716$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.69 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe4…f348backed Mavericks | 26c | 1,712$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 1,694$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.08 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,633$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Mavericks | 5c | 1,600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Mavericks | 3c | 1,559$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Mavericks | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Mavericks | 11c | 1,395$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,368$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.66 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Mavericks | 8c | 1,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Mavericks | 10c | 1,216$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,167$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.12 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 32c | 1,124$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.81 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Mavericks | 43c | 1,109$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.83 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…7e50backed Mavericks | 3c | 1,105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +703.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,102$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.09 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Mavericks | 33c | 1,100$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mavericks | 23c | 1,098$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,086$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.18 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Mavericks | 66c | 1,050$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,047$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Mavericks | 13c | 1,019$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,013$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.14 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,002$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…3405backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Mavericks | 65c | 1,000$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Mavericks | 65c | 980.85$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.48 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…d2e6backed Mavericks | 63c | 960.4$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…f2d3backed Mavericks | 66c | 952.81$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2bebbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 952.06$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Mavericks | 65c | 913.8$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.97 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Mavericks | 67c | 860.06$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.34 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks | 36c | 840.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 52c | 830.32$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.59 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Mavericks | 66c | 828.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 788.89$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.89 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Mavericks | 8c | 769.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Timberwolves | 33c | 757.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.83 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 4c | 750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…26b9backed Timberwolves | 34c | 730.07$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…24eabacked Timberwolves | 35c | 691.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 686.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…381bbacked Mavericks | 66c | 676.11$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Mavericks | 32c | 661.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Timberwolves | 35c | 652.1$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.1 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Mavericks | 66c | 636.12$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.56 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 623.29$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.14 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…46a9backed Mavericks | 66c | 621.21$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Timberwolves | 67c | 609.86$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…4f52backed Mavericks | 68c | 607.84$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…c726backed Timberwolves | 34c | 606.2$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Mavericks | 67c | 598.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Mavericks | 66c | 592.42$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 544.04$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.35 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Timberwolves | 35c | 542.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.86 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.