TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Pacers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x260a…dbf6backed Pacers0c61,439$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.446648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pacers0c32,916$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9225833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pacers3c24,227$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.5122832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Raptors72c8,537$6,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,394.1715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors71c6,470$4,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,907.43,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Pacers17c5,413$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.973540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.8372241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Pacers21c4,458$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.278129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pacers56c3,750$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.4829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pacers24c3,583$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.7161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Raptors75c3,520$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.5223548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Pacers33c3,500$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1389430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Raptors43c3,490$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.36245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors44c3,272$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.4172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers23c2,918$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.5470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers23c2,899$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.771,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pacers19c2,851$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54227041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pacers55c2,797$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.3450047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers33c2,792$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.7365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pacers10c2,745$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.211719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c39…15d7backed Raptors77c2,566$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.074870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea86…4d92backed Raptors43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d6…d704backed Pacers58c2,284$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers58c2,136$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2391,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Pacers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pacers48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Raptors44c1,883$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.4819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Raptors59c1,647$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.8430954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e2…a960backed Raptors42c1,510$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Raptors69c1,446$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.716855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf784…f897backed Raptors59c1,052$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.61785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Raptors70c1,039$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.025366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Pacers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Raptors44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Pacers2c1,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers3c964.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.221,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b7…1e3cbacked Pacers57c889.14$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.811442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors46c869.9$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Pacers6c865.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.344418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pacers56c839.35$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9917244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers1c797.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.464573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Pacers57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39928063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf848…03abbacked Raptors41c654.52$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Raptors42c642.04$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.382725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Raptors61c627.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.819052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeee…ccb7backed Pacers19c546.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Pacers8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors43c499.96$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.9829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers15c469$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b61…78e8backed Pacers3c459.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.982437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pacers3c456.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6918518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f46…a765backed Raptors42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0173…c5adbacked Pacers57c399.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Raptors48c395.83$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.831050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pacers55c395$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.5645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Pacers20c394.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Raptors43c383.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.724334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3add…a76dbacked Raptors44c356.82$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Raptors42c355.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.094341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…2ba9backed Raptors47c351.06$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.061070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61a6…ad90backed Pacers54c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0870…e7bebacked Pacers58c345.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb118…da1ebacked Pacers15c345.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.39911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-84.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Raptors44c336.36$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3656348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Raptors48c313.8$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.838942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Pacers58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1746768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc689…9279backed Raptors45c299.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.995151%26 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Pacers54c299.95$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9748137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Pacers55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dec…50dabacked Raptors45c271.11$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0691…c192backed Pacers57c269.59$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors43c258.81$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5238132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca4…49c2backed Raptors47c252$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1e…b8c9backed Pacers8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors46c249.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7037…7ba4backed Raptors43c234.12$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.451060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Pacers43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Raptors43c230.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.510153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Pacers20c227.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.73030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9507…5e5fbacked Raptors44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Pacers12c222.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.794456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Pacers57c219.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58f…e787backed Raptors46c212$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5a…ac96backed Raptors43c209.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4271…e1d1backed Raptors43c209.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203f…8e77backed Raptors75c207.1$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…4f6dbacked Pacers53c200.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.013372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df9…2c03backed Pacers55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…e22fbacked Raptors47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…9d0abacked Pacers58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers52c199.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers33c199.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.581,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bf…cd05backed Pacers58c198.03$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc00…57f5backed Raptors43c197.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa0…fcc4backed Pacers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc8…951abacked Pacers58c185.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.381353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Pacers46c184.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8815646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…ede5backed Pacers58c184$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc3e…2b42backed Raptors44c184$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.