Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9d0deb95dea7937d5e29fd0af0649fe304a916f462e34f0d720362773e4326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 39c | 6,813$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.67 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 60c | 3,790$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.26 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 23c | 3,250$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.91 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 8c | 2,382$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 12c | 2,170$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 61c | 1,887$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.05 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 14c | 1,238$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 40c | 1,086$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed No | 38c | 930.38$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 39c | 621.71$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.76 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…0c53backed No | 65c | 528.11$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…b25ebacked No | 65c | 521.35$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…5d8cbacked Yes | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…ddcdbacked No | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 60c | 395.66$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 12c | 383.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 62c | 359.81$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 62c | 288.82$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed No | 10c | 222.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 60c | 196.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3d…657dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 39c | 119.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 62c | 111.07$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 19c | 104.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 39c | 100.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 60c | 99.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…1a53backed No | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3f…27d5backed Yes | 40c | 74.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…6c8ebacked Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Yes | 60c | 69.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29f7…2b93backed Yes | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…6a3fbacked No | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 38c | 49.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…7453backed No | 62c | 47.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…9716backed Yes | 40c | 47.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…34acbacked No | 61c | 44.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…a2cabacked Yes | 41c | 39.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed No | 62c | 39.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…32d8backed No | 63c | 37.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…8f17backed Yes | 40c | 37.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…069abacked Yes | 39c | 36.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…99a4backed Yes | 40c | 32.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…92b0backed No | 61c | 31.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…a6f8backed Yes | 39c | 30.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…e8d7backed No | 61c | 30.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…0236backed Yes | 79c | 30.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…6c16backed No | 60c | 29.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d87…cfedbacked Yes | 38c | 29.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…55b2backed No | 62c | 29.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…5c2dbacked Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…a247backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…d8cebacked No | 62c | 24.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…d728backed No | 61c | 19.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…637abacked No | 61c | 17.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…924abacked No | 63c | 16.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…d789backed No | 62c | 16.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-30?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.