Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92630ccbdad573d7db44ee2513bef03d4df350abcb002e57488507aafff14fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 66c | 140,116$92,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,894.37 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed Yes | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 27c | 31,665$8,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,613.28 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 34c | 11,498$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.32 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 3,157$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.36 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 35c | 2,908$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.94 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 34c | 1,957$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.37 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 65c | 1,894$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.95 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed Yes | 34c | 1,822$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 66c | 1,822$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 1,515$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.7 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed No | 66c | 1,435$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 34c | 1,417$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed No | 67c | 1,300$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 64c | 1,293$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.74 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 68c | 1,275$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.18 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 36c | 600.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 27c | 387.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 66c | 378$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.77 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 34c | 284.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 278.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 67c | 236.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 33c | 220.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…3f92backed No | 66c | 157.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 74c | 147$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…6e9fbacked Yes | 16c | 128.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae5d…3553backed Yes | 36c | 124.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 55cpaid | -80%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 66c | 115.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…e603backed Yes | 35c | 109.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 37c | 108.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…17aabacked No | 65c | 96.92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 67c | 89.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…9a8abacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…40b8backed Yes | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 29c | 73.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…dd38backed Yes | 35c | 71.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b3…0158backed Yes | 35c | 51.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…7690backed No | 66c | 50.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…9342backed Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…2828backed Yes | 37c | 48.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…8ff7backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…f80dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c79…8268backed Yes | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…316abacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…092abacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…275ebacked Yes | 35c | 38.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9155…9a1cbacked Yes | 37c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…b45ebacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…1b8fbacked Yes | 35c | 29.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…abb3backed Yes | 36c | 28.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 26.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…8f19backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…9034backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-30?Yes won
- Will Wolves vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.